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Cboe Global Markets, Inc (CBOE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $28.6B

CG Cboe Global Markets, Inc logo Cboe Global Markets, Inc CBOE · US
Price$289.17
Fair Value$136.64
Upside-52.8%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 25.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.00% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Wide moat 94/100
Evidence: High Range $102.48 – $404.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +11.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 53% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($102.48 to $404.53). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$365.93 $99.22 Fair Value $136.64 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $99.22 – $365.93 · fair‑value band $102.48 – $404.53 · the $289.17 price screens above the $136.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Cboe Global Markets, Inc (CBOE) currently trades at $289.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $136.64, implying the stock looks roughly 52.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cboe Global Markets, Inc generated revenue of $4.8B at a net margin of 25.8%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $532M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $102.48 (bear case) to $404.53 (bull case); at $289.17, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -53%, CBOE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $159.81 $315.47 $560.59 80
Residual Income $70.43 $94.97 $463.63 76
Rev-Margin DCF $110.56 $187.63 $294.82 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $163.92 $299.19 $632.53 38
Owner Earnings $163.68 $324.34 $631.61 31
5Y Revenue Exit $110.56 $189.80 $300.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $155.71 $289.65 $466.24 41
5Y P/E Exit $159.17 $297.29 $464.60 38
10Y Revenue Exit $123.60 $208.17 $345.59 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $157.38 $284.39 $494.64 37
10Y P/E Exit $159.74 $290.22 $493.17 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $71.47 $413.97 $575.95 54
Lynch FV $116.91 $167.02 $217.12 50
PEG = 1.0 $116.91 $167.02 $217.12 46
EPV $102.72 $118.61 $132.51 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $24.94 $51.86 $82.27 70
DDM Multi-Stage $24.94 $43.73 $54.43 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $157.66 $210.22 $262.77 63
P/S Multiple $84.46 $112.61 $140.77 58
P/B Multiple $110.47 $147.29 $184.12 55
EV/EBIT $202.71 $267.81 $332.92 53
EV/EBITDA $159.86 $210.68 $261.50 54
EV/Revenue $86.22 $120.01 $153.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.55 $32.90 $49.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $159.81 $315.47 $560.59 80
Rev-Margin DCF $110.56 $187.63 $294.82 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $70.43 $94.97 $463.63 76
ROIC Compounder $121.36 $167.55 $230.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $168.76 $241.08 $313.41 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($289.65) versus Asset-Based ($32.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.5%
Net margin 25.8%
Return on equity 25.1%
Free cash flow $1.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 24.4
More key figures
Operating margin 39.7%
EPS (TTM) $11.70
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +54.4%
Net cash $532M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cboe Global Markets, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a derivatives and securities exchange network that delivers cutting-edge trading, clearing, and investment solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Options, North American Equities, Europe and Asia Pacific, Futures, and Global FX.

Full company description

Cboe Global Markets, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a derivatives and securities exchange network that delivers cutting-edge trading, clearing, and investment solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates through five segments: Options, North American Equities, Europe and Asia Pacific, Futures, and Global FX. The Options segment includes options on market indices, as well as on the stocks of individual corporations and on trading solutions and products in multiple asset classes, including equities, derivatives, and FX, across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific (ETPs), such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and exchange-traded notes (ETNs); and trading in listed options through a single system. The North American Equities segment comprising U.S. equities and ETP transaction services. This segment also includes listing services on Cboe Canada, ETP listings on BZX, the Cboe Global Markets, Inc. common stock listing, and applicable market data. The Europe and Asia Pacific segment provides pan-European derivatives transaction services, ETPs, including exchange traded funds, exchange traded notes, and exchange traded commodities, and international depository receipts; and ETP listings business on regulated markets and clearing activities, as well as the equities services. The Futures segment offers transaction services, which includes trading of VIX futures and other futures products, the licensing of proprietary market data, as well as access and capacity services. The Global FX segment provides institutional foreign exchange (FX) trading and non-deliverable forward FX transactions services. It has strategic relationships with S&P Dow Jones Indices, LLC; Frank Russell Company; and FTSE International Limited. The company was formerly known as CBOE Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Cboe Global Markets, Inc. in October 2017. Cboe Global Markets, Inc. was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cboe Global Markets, Inc reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $3.5B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2025, compounding +20.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.7B
Latest YoY
+15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+15.3%
Revenue +7.8%/yr
FY21 $3.5B
FY22 $4.0B
FY23 $3.8B
FY24 $4.1B
FY25 $4.7B
Net income +20.1%/yr
FY21 $529M
FY22 $235M
FY23 $761M
FY24 $765M
FY25 $1.1B

CBOE screens 53% overvalued. Compare with S&P Global Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cboe Global Markets, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CBOE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Financial Data & Stock Exchanges · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Above median
Fair Value upside −53% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Above median
Return on assets 11% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 40% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.28× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Data & Stock Exchanges median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 5.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 24.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 33 · sector 69
PAST 100 · sector 77
HEALTH 86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Data & Stock Exchanges stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
S&P Global Inc SPGI $450.84 $196.36 -56%
CME Group CME $245.05 $145.51 -41%
Moody's Corporation MCO $504.46 $194.82 -61%
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc ICE $139.65 $75.95 -46%
Deutsche Börse AG DB1 €260.90 €142.42 -45%
Nasdaq, Inc NDAQ $88.08 $41.12 -53%
MSCI Inc MSCI $604.71 $214.91 -64%
Coinbase Global, Inc COIN $160.49 $57.05 -64%
Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co 300033 ¥215.56 ¥55.36 -74%
Singapore Exchange Limited S68 23.88 SGD 7.88 SGD -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cboe Global Markets, Inc (CBOE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $136.64 versus a price of $289.17, about −53% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CBOE?
Our model-based fair value for Cboe Global Markets, Inc is $136.64 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $289.17.
What is the quality score of CBOE?
Cboe Global Markets, Inc has a Quality Score of 72/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cboe Global Markets, Inc (CBOE)?
Cboe Global Markets, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CBOE?
The net profit margin of Cboe Global Markets, Inc is about 25.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cboe Global Markets, Inc pay a dividend?
Cboe Global Markets, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.98% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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