Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA €3.90, price €9.40, upside -58.5%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €7.01 – €10.20 · fair‑value band €1.25 – €8.78 · the €9.40 price screens above the €3.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Societe Centrale des Bois et Scieries de la Manche engages in the ownership, management, and lease of real estate properties in France. It leases offices, business properties, mixed activity locations, and residences. The company is based in Paris, France.
Stock analysis
Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM) currently trades at €9.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.90, implying the stock looks roughly 141.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €13.06 per share, and 4 of the 8 models we run sit above the €9.40 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €1.48, and 4 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €1.25 (bear) to €8.78 (bull), the price of €9.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA reported revenue of €22.5M in FY2025 versus €17.6M in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was €12.8M in FY2025, compounding −5.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €129M · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 5.67 · EPS (TTM) €0.9400 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 56.9% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −59%, CBSM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.25Fair Value €3.90Bull €8.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.9400 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.7% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs 4%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.62% → 36%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.7% a year for the price.
Compare Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−59% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)57% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)78% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.84× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)10.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.56× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)6.49× · Pricier than median
P/FCF8.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA18.3× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)18· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)20· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)58· sector 76
DIVIDEND (yield)34· sector 100
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CBSM
Frequently asked questions
Is Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.90 versus a price of €9.40, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CBSM?
Our model-based fair value for Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is €3.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €9.40.
What is the quality score of CBSM?
Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €3.90 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.25, optimistic scenario €8.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €3.90, about −59% upside versus a price of €9.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.25, optimistic scenario €8.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €22.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA pay a dividend?
Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA would have to grow free cash flow by +14.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CBSM use?
Our models discount Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA that is +14.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA grew +5.2 % a year. The price currently implies +14.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (+14.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.95 %: that much free cash flow Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA it is €3.90 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €9.40. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CBSM trades above its calculated fair value: price €9.40, fair value €3.90, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CBSM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€9.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€3.90). For Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA the two are €5.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA worth?
The market values Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA at about €129M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €9.40; our models calculate a fair value of €3.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CBSM?
Our models span a range for Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA: cautious scenario €1.25, base €3.90, optimistic €8.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €9.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CBSM?
Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €3.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 6.5, EV/EBITDA 18.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.0%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CBSM from its 52-week high?
Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA trades at €9.40, about 8% below its 52-week high of €10.20 and 9% above the low of €8.59 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €3.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €9.40, calculated fair value €3.90 (−59%), Quality Score 65/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CBSM calculated?
We run Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €3.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €9.40. Our model-based fair value is €3.90, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (€1.25 to €8.78). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
The market capitalisation of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is €129M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is 5.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
Earnings per share at Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA are €0.9400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
The dividend yield of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is 1.7% (payout 16.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
The net margin of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is 56.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
The operating margin of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is 77.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
Revenue at Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM)?
Earnings per share at Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA are growing −26.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA (CBSM) carry?
The net debt of Soc Centrale Bois Scieries Manche SA is €198M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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