Cadeler A/S (CDLR) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $2.1B
Cadeler A/S
CDLR · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $47.04 to $46.81 (−0.5%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 107% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($31.88). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide ($31.88 to $106.77). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
32‑month range $15.92 – $29.57 · fair‑value band $31.88 – $106.77 · the $22.60 price screens below the $46.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Cadeler A/S (CDLR) currently trades at $22.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $46.81, implying the stock looks roughly 107.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cadeler A/S generated revenue of $680M at a net margin of 39.9%. Revenue grew 90.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.7%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $31.88 (bear case) to $106.77 (bull case); at $22.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 107%, CDLR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($127.71) versus Asset-Based ($10.44). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cadeler A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore wind installation vessel contractor in Denmark, the United Kingdom, Germany, Poland, rest of Europe, the United States, and Taiwan.
Full company description
Cadeler A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an offshore wind installation vessel contractor in Denmark, the United Kingdom, Germany, Poland, rest of Europe, the United States, and Taiwan. The company engages in the transport and installation of offshore wind turbine generators, foundations, and topsides and substations; maintenance of offshore wind turbine generators, and offshore structures and platforms; and offshore construction within the renewable space. It is also involved offshore decommissioning within the renewable space; salvage assistance; and heavy lift and project cargo. In addition, the company owns and operates ten offshore jack-up windfarm installation vessels. Cadeler A/S was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cadeler A/S reported revenue of $596M in FY2025 versus $60.9M in FY2021, a compound +76.8%/yr. Reported net income was $269M in FY2025, compounding +145.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Cadeler Takes Delivery of 11th Vessel: Wind Ace
- Cadeler signs EIFO-backed green term loan facility for offshore wind installation vessel
- Cadeler Announces Signing of an EIFO-Backed Green Term Loan Facility of EUR 247 Million for Wind Apex
- Cadeler CEO Mikkel Gleerup Highlights Energy Transition Infrastructure Growth
Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹4,020 | ₹1,994 | -50% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 113,700 KRW | 61,453 KRW | -46% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 49,300 KRW | 43,624 KRW | -12% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹230.00 | ₹48.92 | -79% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 18,400 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -65% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 99,800 KRW | 19,346 KRW | -81% |
| GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 | 35,200 KRW | 23,135 KRW | -34% |
| DL E&C Co 375500 | 73,500 KRW | 148,433 KRW | +102% |
| KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 | 45,400 KRW | 43,924 KRW | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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