MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MHP Hotel AG stock €2.82, price €1.34, upside +110.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range €1.04 – €1.71 · fair‑value band €2.05 – €3.64 · the €1.34 price screens below the €2.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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MHP Hotel AG operates as an independent hotel investment and management company. It designs and implements hotel, restaurant, and bar concepts; and operates as a partnership link between hotel investors and franchisors, as well as between its hotel guests and on-site hotel teams.
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The company was formerly known as Lifespot Capital AG. MHP Hotel AG was founded in 2012 and is based in Munich, Germany.
Stock analysis
MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0) currently trades at €1.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.82, implying the stock looks roughly 52% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €5.78 per share, and 11 of the 12 models we run sit above the €1.34 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €1.58, and 1 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €2.05 (bear) to €3.64 (bull), the price of €1.34 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
MHP Hotel AG reported revenue of €178M in FY2025 versus €36.2K in FY2020, a compound +447.5%/yr. Reported net income was €5.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €62.1M Micro · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) €0.1200 · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −4.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 110%, CDZ0 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€2.05Fair Value €2.82Bull€3.64
Price €1.34 · Upside +110.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1029 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+447.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+463.6%
’19
’20
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−459.3% (2020) → 5.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 1 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+110.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)1.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)−4.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)25.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)11.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.04× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MHP Hotel AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDZ0
Frequently asked questions
Is MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.82 versus a price of €1.34, about +110% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CDZ0?
Our model-based fair value for MHP Hotel AG is €2.82 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.34.
What is the quality score of CDZ0?
MHP Hotel AG has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.82 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.05, optimistic scenario €3.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MHP Hotel AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.82, about +110% upside versus a price of €1.34 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €2.05, optimistic scenario €3.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
MHP Hotel AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €198M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MHP Hotel AG it is €2.82 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €1.34. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 4 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is MHP Hotel AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, CDZ0 trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.34, fair value €2.82, a gap of about +110% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CDZ0?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.82). For MHP Hotel AG the two are €1.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MHP Hotel AG worth?
The market values MHP Hotel AG at about €62.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €1.34; our models calculate a fair value of €2.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CDZ0?
Our models span a range for MHP Hotel AG: cautious scenario €2.05, base €2.82, optimistic €3.64 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €1.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CDZ0?
MHP Hotel AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
Balance-sheet figures for MHP Hotel AG (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CDZ0 from its 52-week high?
MHP Hotel AG trades at €1.34, about 11% below its 52-week high of €1.51 and 13% above the low of €1.19 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MHP Hotel AG?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, H World Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MHP Hotel AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €1.34, calculated fair value €2.82 (+110%), Quality Score 57/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CDZ0 calculated?
We run MHP Hotel AG through 12 models from 4 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €2.82 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. MHP Hotel AG currently trades 52% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €1.34. Our model-based fair value is €2.82, about +110% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MHP Hotel AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€2.05). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of MHP Hotel AG
How large is the market capitalisation of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
The market capitalisation of MHP Hotel AG is €62.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MHP Hotel AG is 0.31 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
Earnings per share at MHP Hotel AG are €0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
The net margin of MHP Hotel AG is 1.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MHP Hotel AG is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MHP Hotel AG is 0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
The operating margin of MHP Hotel AG is −4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0)?
Revenue at MHP Hotel AG is growing +25.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0) generate?
The free cash flow of MHP Hotel AG is −€6.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Some data
Nov 9, 2026