MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €63.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Share price +2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 96% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€2.05). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range €1.04 – €1.71 · fair‑value band €2.05 – €3.42 · the €1.40 price screens below the €2.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
MHP Hotel AG (CDZ0) currently trades at €1.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.74, implying the stock looks roughly 95.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, MHP Hotel AG generated revenue of €198M at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 23.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.05 (bear case) to €3.42 (bull case); at €1.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at 96%, CDZ0 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€5.78) versus Asset-Based (€0.8600). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MHP Hotel AG operates as an independent hotel investment and management company. It designs and implements hotel, restaurant, and bar concepts; and operates as a partnership link between hotel investors and franchisors, as well as between its hotel guests and on-site hotel teams. The company was formerly known as Lifespot Capital AG.
Full company description
MHP Hotel AG operates as an independent hotel investment and management company. It designs and implements hotel, restaurant, and bar concepts; and operates as a partnership link between hotel investors and franchisors, as well as between its hotel guests and on-site hotel teams. The company was formerly known as Lifespot Capital AG. MHP Hotel AG was founded in 2012 and is based in Munich, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MHP Hotel AG reported revenue of €178M in FY2025 versus €36.2K in FY2020, a compound +447.5%/yr. Reported net income was €5.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Lodging · 168 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 | 16.00 SAR | 11.64 SAR | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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