CEBR3 Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · BR · Market cap R$1.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from R$25.40 to R$26.94 (+6.1%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −2.9% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from R$21.68 (bear) to R$34.37 (bull), base R$26.94. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 79/100 (high quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$5.36 – R$34.52 · fair‑value band R$21.68 – R$34.37 · the R$24.00 price screens below the R$26.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
CEBR3 (CEBR3) currently trades at R$24.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$26.94, implying the stock looks roughly 12.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, CEBR3 generated revenue of R$478M at a net margin of 34.9%. Revenue declined 23.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of R$425M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$21.68 (bear case) to R$34.37 (bull case); at R$24.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 12%, CEBR3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (R$51.26) versus Asset-Based (R$8.50). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Companhia Energética de Brasília - CEB, through its subsidiaries, generates and distributes electrical energy and gas in Brazil. The company operates through Power Generation, Commercialization of Electric Energy, Public Lighting, and Others segments.
Full company description
Companhia Energética de Brasília - CEB, through its subsidiaries, generates and distributes electrical energy and gas in Brazil. The company operates through Power Generation, Commercialization of Electric Energy, Public Lighting, and Others segments. The company produces electrical energy from hydraulic power plants; distributes piped gas; public lighting services; and provides maintenance and expansion services. It is also involved in the provision of services for the preparation of studies; engineering projects; execution of works for the implementation, expansion, renovation, or maintenance of overhead and underground electricity transmission and distribution networks; and installation of public lighting systems and electrical building. The company was formerly known as Companhia de Eletricidade de Brasília and changed its name to Companhia Energética de Brasília " CEB in 1992. Companhia Energética de Brasília " CEB was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Brasília, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CEBR3 reported revenue of R$510M in FY2025 versus R$343M in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$186M in FY2025, compounding −37.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −18.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $88.80 | $32.94 | -63% |
| The Southern Company SO | $95.61 | $61.06 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $126.11 | $97.11 | -23% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,377 ARS | -27% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $132.50 | $79.33 | -40% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $70.08 | $46.92 | -33% |
| NTPC Limited NTPC | ₹341.85 | ₹377.16 | +10% |
| CEZ, a. s. CEZ | 232.40 PLN | 159.33 PLN | -31% |
| Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID | ₹283.55 | ₹252.77 | -11% |
| China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 | ¥8.91 | ¥7.69 | -14% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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