CEMAS Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · Market cap 3.3B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
Share price −3.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 28% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.97 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.00 TRY – 11.23 TRY · fair‑value band 2.21 TRY – 2.97 TRY · the 4.15 TRY price screens above the 2.97 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
CEMAS (CEMAS) currently trades at 4.15 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.97 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 28.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, CEMAS generated revenue of 1.5B TRY at a net margin of -88.4%. Revenue declined 34.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -35.0%. Net debt stands at 110M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.21 TRY (bear case) to 2.97 TRY (bull case); at 4.15 TRY, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -28%, CEMAS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (882.09 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (2.97 TRY). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CEMAS reported revenue of 1.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 333M TRY in FY2021, a compound +50.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.4B TRY in FY2025.
CEMAS screens 28% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 245 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥55.43 | ¥8.07 | -85% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| SINOMACH HEAVY EQUIPMENT GROUP CO.,LTD researches, 601399 | ¥3.13 | ¥1.35 | -57% |
Compare CEMAS with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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