CEMX.TO (CEMX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of CEMX.TO C$0.53, price C$0.49, upside +8.2%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1400 – C$0.5900 · fair‑value band C$0.3500 – C$0.8700 · the C$0.4900 price screens below the C$0.5300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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CEMATRIX Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cellular concrete products in North America, Canada, and the United States. The company engages in onsite production and placement of cellular concrete.
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CEMATRIX Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells cellular concrete products in North America, Canada, and the United States. The company engages in onsite production and placement of cellular concrete. It also offers cellular concrete products use in lightweight backfill for retaining wall fill, MSE walls, bridge approach fills, roadways and runways, and slope stabilization; insulation material for oil and gas facility slabs, roadways, shallow utilities, and contaminated site thermal remediation; and grout and flowable fill for tunnel grouting, slipline and annular grout, pipe abandonment, and flowable fill applications. CEMATRIX Corporation is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
CEMX.TO (CEMX) currently trades at C$0.4900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.5300, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$0.6700 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the C$0.4900 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.1800, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.3500 (bear) to C$0.8700 (bull), the price of C$0.4900 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
CEMX.TO reported revenue of C$45.1M in FY2025 versus C$22.6M in FY2021, a compound +18.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$4.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$75.5M (≈ $53.3M) · P/E ratio 24.5 · P/S ratio 2.21 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0200 · Net margin 9.0% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin −21.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 8%, CEMX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$0.3500Fair Value C$0.5300Bull C$0.8700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0149 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+27.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.4% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+71.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+71.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 12%
2025 sits 384% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 254 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+8.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−21.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CEMX.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEMX
Frequently asked questions
Is CEMX.TO (CEMX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.5300 versus a price of C$0.4900, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CEMX?
Our model-based fair value for CEMX.TO is C$0.5300 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.4900.
What is the quality score of CEMX?
CEMX.TO has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.5300 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.3500, optimistic scenario C$0.8700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CEMX.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.5300, about +8% upside versus a price of C$0.4900 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario C$0.3500, optimistic scenario C$0.8700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
CEMX.TO reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$45.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CEMX.TO would have to grow free cash flow by +14.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CEMX use?
Our models discount CEMX.TO at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CEMX.TO that is +14.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CEMX.TO (CEMX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CEMX.TO grew +11.2 % a year. The price currently implies +14.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CEMX.TO (CEMX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CEMX.TO (+14.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.92 %: that much free cash flow CEMX.TO produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CEMX.TO it is C$0.5300 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$0.4900. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CEMX.TO stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CEMX trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.4900, fair value C$0.5300, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CEMX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.4900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.5300). For CEMX.TO the two are C$0.0400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CEMX.TO worth?
The market values CEMX.TO at about C$75.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$0.4900; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.5300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CEMX?
Our models span a range for CEMX.TO: cautious scenario C$0.3500, base C$0.5300, optimistic C$0.8700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$0.4900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CEMX?
CEMX.TO trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.5300 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 10.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
Balance-sheet figures for CEMX.TO (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CEMX from its 52-week high?
CEMX.TO trades at C$0.4900, about 17% below its 52-week high of C$0.5900 and 53% above the low of C$0.3200 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.5300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CEMX.TO?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CEMX.TO stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$0.4900, calculated fair value C$0.5300 (+8%), Quality Score 63/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CEMX calculated?
We run CEMX.TO through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.5300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. CEMX.TO currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$0.4900. Our model-based fair value is C$0.5300, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CEMX.TO right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (C$0.3500 to C$0.8700) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of CEMX.TO
How large is the market capitalisation of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
The market capitalisation of CEMX.TO is C$75.5M (≈ $53.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CEMX.TO is 2.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
Earnings per share at CEMX.TO are C$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
The net margin of CEMX.TO is 9.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CEMX.TO is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CEMX.TO is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
The operating margin of CEMX.TO is −21.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
Revenue at CEMX.TO is growing +9.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CEMX.TO (CEMX)?
Earnings per share at CEMX.TO are growing +116% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does CEMX.TO (CEMX) hold?
CEMX.TO holds more cash than debt, C$8.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026