PT Citra Nusantara Gemilang Tbk, an energy company, (CGAS) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · ID · Market cap 257B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from 91.16 IDR to 136.41 IDR (+49.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from 102.31 IDR (bear) to 170.51 IDR (bull), base 136.41 IDR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range 72.75 IDR – 869.67 IDR · fair‑value band 102.31 IDR – 170.51 IDR · the 153.00 IDR price screens above the 136.41 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
PT Citra Nusantara Gemilang Tbk, an energy company, (CGAS) currently trades at 153.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 136.41 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Citra Nusantara Gemilang Tbk, an energy company, generated revenue of 650B IDR at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue grew 28.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 16.2B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 102.31 IDR (bear case) to 170.51 IDR (bull case); at 153.00 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -11%, CGAS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (163.46 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (46.97 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Citra Nusantara Gemilang Tbk, an energy company, engages in the trading and distribution of natural gas in the form of compressed natural gas (CNG) to the industrial, retail, and transportation sectors in Indonesia.
Full company description
PT Citra Nusantara Gemilang Tbk, an energy company, engages in the trading and distribution of natural gas in the form of compressed natural gas (CNG) to the industrial, retail, and transportation sectors in Indonesia. The company is also involved in the trading, sale, and installation of gas equipment; engineering, procurement, and construction of CNG stations; vehicle conversion and maintenance; construction, operation, and maintenance of independent power plants; and operation and maintenance of CNG plants. It offers its products under the GASRA brand. PT Citra Nusantara Gemilang Tbk was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
PT Citra Nusantara Gemilang Tbk, an energy company, reported revenue of 612B IDR in FY2026 versus 388B IDR in FY2022, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was 14.2B IDR in FY2026, compounding +47.7%/yr from FY2022.
CGAS screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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