China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of China Resources Gas Group Ltd $46.14, price $19.68, upside +134.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $16.39 – $47.33 · fair‑value band $27.72 – $59.98 · the $19.68 price screens below the $46.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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China Resources Gas Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale of liquefied gas and connection of gas pipelines. The company operates through Sale and Distribution of Gas Fuel and Related Products, Gas Connection, Comprehensive Services, Design and Construction Services, and Gas Stations segments.
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China Resources Gas Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the sale of liquefied gas and connection of gas pipelines. The company operates through Sale and Distribution of Gas Fuel and Related Products, Gas Connection, Comprehensive Services, Design and Construction Services, and Gas Stations segments. The Sale and Distribution of Gas Fuel and Related Products segment sells natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas for residential, commercial, and industrial use. The Gas Connection segment engages in the construction of gas pipeline networks under gas connection contracts. The Comprehensive Services segment sells gas appliances and related products. The Design and Construction Services segment provides design, construction, consultancy, and management services for gas connection projects. The Gas Stations segment engages in the sale of gas fuel in natural gas filling stations. China Resources Gas Group Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. China Resources Gas Group Limited is a subsidiary of CRH (Gas) Limited.
Stock analysis
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR (CGASY) currently trades at $19.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $46.14, implying the stock looks roughly 57.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $54.78 per share, and 24 of the 26 models we run sit above the $19.68 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $16.67, and 2 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $27.72 (bear) to $59.98 (bull), the price of $19.68 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR reported revenue of HK$97.6B in FY2025 versus HK$79.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$3.5B in FY2025, compounding −13.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.9B · P/E ratio 9.9 · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) $1.98 · Dividend yield 4.8% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 134%, CGASY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $27.72Fair Value $46.14Bull $59.98
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7788 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.5% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7.8% vs 1.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.0% a year for the price and 0.0% for the forecasts.
Compare China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 105 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+76.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.7% · Below median
Return on assets2.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.19× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGASY
Frequently asked questions
Is China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $46.14 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $19.68, about +134% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CGASY?
Our model-based fair value for China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is $46.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $19.68.
What is the quality score of CGASY?
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $46.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $27.72, optimistic scenario $59.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $46.14, about +134% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $19.68 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $27.72, optimistic scenario $59.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$97.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +4.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CGASY use?
Our models discount China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.70, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR that is +4.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR grew +11.8 % a year. The price currently implies +4.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR (+4.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.64 %: that much free cash flow China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR it is $46.14 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $19.68. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CGASY trades below its calculated fair value: price $19.68, fair value $46.14, a gap of about +134% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGASY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($46.14). For China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR the two are $26.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR worth?
The market values China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR at about $4.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $19.68; our models calculate a fair value of $46.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGASY?
Our models span a range for China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $27.72, base $46.14, optimistic $59.98 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $19.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CGASY?
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $46.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
What is the PEG ratio of CGASY?
The PEG ratio of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is 2.52 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.7%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGASY from its 52-week high?
China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR trades at $19.68, about 24% below its 52-week high of $25.88 and 20% above the low of $16.39 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $46.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, Uniper SE, NiSource Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $19.68, calculated fair value $46.14 (+134%), Quality Score 48/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGASY calculated?
We run China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $46.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR currently trades 57 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $19.68. Our model-based fair value is $46.14, about +134% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($27.72). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($27.72 to $59.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY) come from?
Earnings per share at China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR grew +4.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.2 %, EBIT margin −8.1 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
The market capitalisation of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is $4.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is 0.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
Earnings per share at China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR are $1.98 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
The dividend yield of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is 4.8% (payout 48.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
The net margin of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
The operating margin of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
Revenue at China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is growing −5.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY)?
Earnings per share at China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR are growing +78.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Resources Gas Group Ltd (CGASY) carry?
The net debt of China Resources Gas Group Ltd ADR is HK$16.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026