Country Group (CGH) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TH · Market cap 2.3B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −1.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.2300 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (0.0900 THB to 0.2300 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4100 THB – 2.00 THB · fair‑value band 0.0900 THB – 0.2300 THB · the 0.5500 THB price screens above the 0.1600 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Country Group (CGH) currently trades at 0.5500 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1600 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 70.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Country Group generated revenue of 1.3B THB at a net margin of -12.6%. Revenue declined 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.0%. Net debt stands at 299M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.0900 THB (bear case) to 0.2300 THB (bull case); at 0.5500 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -71%, CGH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.9900 THB) versus Growth DCF (0.4400 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when CGH reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Country Group Holdings Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the securities brokerage business in Thailand. The company operates through four segments: Securities and Derivatives Brokerage, Investment Banking, Securities and Derivatives Trading, and Digital Asset Trading.
Full company description
Country Group Holdings Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, engages in the securities brokerage business in Thailand. The company operates through four segments: Securities and Derivatives Brokerage, Investment Banking, Securities and Derivatives Trading, and Digital Asset Trading. It offers digital assets brokerage, underwriting, financial advisory, investment banking, pawnbroking, and securities borrowing and lending services. The company also invests in securities, digital assets, debt instruments, and equity derivatives; and operates as real estate agents and brokers, as well as financial asset trading platforms. Country Group Holdings Public Company Limited was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Country Group reported revenue of 1.4B THB in FY2025 versus 1.7B THB in FY2021, a compound −4.9%/yr. Reported net income was −194M THB in FY2025.
CGH screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →
Peer Group
Capital Markets · 423 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huatai Securities Co HTSC | $0.2700 | $0.0400 | -85% |
| Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 | 38,750 KRW | 31,645 KRW | -18% |
| Meritz Financial Group 138040 | 117,000 KRW | 87,706 KRW | -25% |
| Korea Investment Holdings 071050 | 239,000 KRW | 318,825 KRW | +33% |
| NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 | 31,000 KRW | 37,133 KRW | +20% |
| Samsung Securities Co 016360 | 107,700 KRW | 126,487 KRW | +17% |
| Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS | ₹967.00 | ₹299.65 | -69% |
| Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 | 322,000 KRW | 358,091 KRW | +11% |
| SSI Securities Corporation SSI | 24,250 VND | 28,021 VND | +16% |
| Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA | 313.75 ARS | 120.22 ARS | -62% |
Compare Country Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Country Group (CGH) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of CGH?
What is the quality score of CGH?
What is the revenue of Country Group (CGH)?
What is the net profit margin of CGH?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Country Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.