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ESR-REIT (CGIUF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.3B

Price$1.66
Fair Value$1.27
Upside-23.5%
Quality82/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.3900 – $1.27

Analysis

ESR-REIT (CGIUF) currently trades at $1.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.27 — implying the stock looks roughly 23.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 82/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

ESR-REIT is a leading New Economy and future-ready Asia Pacific S-REIT. Listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since 25 July 2006, ESR-REIT invests in quality income-producing industrial properties in key gateway markets. As at 31 December 2025, ESR-REIT holds interests in a diversified portfolio of logistics properties, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately 5.9 billion US dollar. Its portfolio comprises 70 properties (excluding 48 Pandan Road held through a joint venture) located across the developed markets of Singapore (50 assets), Australia (18 assets) and Japan (2 assets), with a total gross floor area of approximately 2.4 million sqm, as well as investments in three property funds in Australia. ESR-REIT is also a constituent of the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Real Estate Index. ESR-REIT is managed by ESR-REIT Management (S) Limited and sponsored by ESR. The Manager is owne…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.