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Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited $2.01, price $3.76, upside -46.5%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN KYG2563P1101

CG Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited

CGTL · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $2.01 · Strongly overvalued (−46.5%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −92.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.8% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$139.35 $3.65 Fair Value $2.01 Nov 2024 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

22‑month range $3.65 – $139.35 · fair‑value band $1.32 – $2.51 · the $3.76 price screens above the $2.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in sourcing and reselling recycled consumer electronic devices in Hong Kong. The company wholesales, retails, and rents pre-owned consumer electronic devices, such as smartphones, tablets, and laptops; as well as involved in trading activities.

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Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in sourcing and reselling recycled consumer electronic devices in Hong Kong. The company wholesales, retails, and rents pre-owned consumer electronic devices, such as smartphones, tablets, and laptops; as well as involved in trading activities. It also offers its products through online. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of HSZ Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares (CGTL) currently trades at $3.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.01, 46.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.32 (bear) to $2.51 (bull), the price of $3.76 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $2.7M in FY2025 versus $12.7M in FY2021, a compound −32.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $6.9M · P/S ratio 0.25 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0400 · Net margin −63.2% · Return on equity −11.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.7% · Operating margin −24.2% · Revenue growth (YoY) +50.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 95% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at −47%, CGTL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.32 Fair Value $2.01 Bull $2.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.01 $1.35 $2.01 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.01 $1.35 $2.01 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 4

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
22.4% (2021) → −62.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CGTL screens overvalued: fair value 47% below the price. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 209 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −48.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −9.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −6.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −24.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 50.3% · Top 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 64

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$78.50 C$106.10 +35%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $231.03 $164.11 −29%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $547.89 $650.56 +19%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $606.24 $405.93 −33%
Best Buy Co BBY $89.91 $94.70 +5%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.73 $36.59 +15%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥51.46 ¥40.40 −21%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $134.70 $201.62 +50%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $222.60 $184.99 −17%
GameStop Corp GME $23.39 $13.85 −41%

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Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares · Fair Value
$2.01 −47%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGTL

Frequently asked questions

Is Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.01 versus a price of $3.76, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGTL?
Our model-based fair value for Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is $2.01 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.76.
What is the quality score of CGTL?
Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.01 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.32, optimistic scenario $2.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.01, about −47% upside versus a price of $3.76 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.32, optimistic scenario $2.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares it is $2.01 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $3.76. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CGTL trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.76, fair value $2.01, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.76); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.01). For Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares the two are $1.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares at about $6.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $3.76; our models calculate a fair value of $2.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGTL?
Our models span a range for Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $1.32, base $2.01, optimistic $2.51 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $3.76). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −11.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGTL from its 52-week high?
Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares trades at $3.76, about 95% below its 52-week high of $78.00 and 3% above the low of $3.65 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $3.76, calculated fair value $2.01 (−47%), Quality Score 45/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGTL calculated?
We run Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $3.76. Our model-based fair value is $2.01, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.32 to $2.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares

How large is the market capitalisation of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
The market capitalisation of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is $6.9M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is 0.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
Earnings per share at Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares are $−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
The net margin of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is −63.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is −11.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is 18.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
The operating margin of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is −24.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
Revenue at Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is growing +50.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −54.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL)?
Earnings per share at Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares are growing −46.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL) generate?
The free cash flow of Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares is −$617K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited (CGTL) hold?
Creative Global Technology Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $21.4K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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