Chennai Petroleum Corporation (CHENNPETRO) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹165B
Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 2, 2026, revised from ₹2,874 to ₹1,032 (−64.1%) since Jun 29, 2026. Share price +19.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹678.68 to ₹1,474) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹82.49 – ₹1,426 · fair‑value band ₹678.68 – ₹1,474 · the ₹1,380 price screens above the ₹1,032 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.
Analysis
Chennai Petroleum Corporation (CHENNPETRO) currently trades at ₹1,380, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,032, implying the stock looks roughly 25.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Chennai Petroleum Corporation generated revenue of ₹636B at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.1%. Net debt stands at ₹10.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹678.68 (bear case) to ₹1,474 (bull case); at ₹1,380, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 124% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -25%, CHENNPETRO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹2,824) versus Dividend Discount (₹190.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited produces and supplies petroleum products in India. The company offers liquefied petroleum gas, naphtha, motor gasoline and spirit, kerosene, aviation turbine fuel, automotive high-speed and high flash diesel, light diesel oil, and bunker and non-bunker fuel oil.
Full company description
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited produces and supplies petroleum products in India. The company offers liquefied petroleum gas, naphtha, motor gasoline and spirit, kerosene, aviation turbine fuel, automotive high-speed and high flash diesel, light diesel oil, and bunker and non-bunker fuel oil. It also provides lube products, such as paving bitumen, lube oil base stocks, and extracts. In addition, the company offers paraffin wax, mineral turpentine oil, food grade and pharma grade hexane, petrochemical feedstocks, micro crystalline wax, sulphur, pet-coke, propylene, poly butene feedstock (PBFS), methyl ethyl ketone feedstock, and kerosene supply. Further, it provides asphalt, linear alkyl benzene feedstock, butene-2, lean butene, lean PBFS, furnace oil, isrosene, ISRO naphtha, propylene glycol and polyols, poly iso-butylene, NATO diesel, JP-5 fuel for fighter jets, and missile fuels. The company was formerly known as Madras Refineries Limited and changed its name to Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited in June 2000. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is based in Chennai, India. Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited is a subsidiary of Indian Oil Corporation Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Chennai Petroleum Corporation reported revenue of ₹636B in FY2026 versus ₹431B in FY2022, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹31.0B in FY2026, compounding +23.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +8.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CHENNPETRO screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,293 | ₹835.66 | -35% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $309.65 | $127.32 | -59% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $283.74 | $135.80 | -52% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $196.16 | $101.04 | -48% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.10 | €4.07 | -87% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 81.30 TWD | 16.68 TWD | -79% |
| Indian Oil Corporation IOC | ₹138.96 | ₹417.35 | +200% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $88.59 | $48.90 | -45% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.55 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 121,400 KRW | 58,865 KRW | -52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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