Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust $0.33, price $0.38, upside -12.8%, quality 85 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1861 – $0.7488 · fair‑value band $0.2652 – $0.3978 · the $0.3800 price screens above the $0.3315 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust owns royalty interests in oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas properties located in the Washita County, Oklahoma. The company has royalty interests in 69 producing wells and 118 development wells. Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Houston, Texas.
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Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust owns royalty interests in oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas properties located in the Washita County, Oklahoma. The company has royalty interests in 69 producing wells and 118 development wells. Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Houston, Texas. Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is a subsidiary of Diversified Production LLC.
Stock analysis
Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) currently trades at $0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3315, implying the stock looks roughly 14.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.8100 per share, and 8 of the 11 models we run sit above the $0.3800 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1500, and 3 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2652 (bear) to $0.3978 (bull), the price of $0.3800 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust reported revenue of $5.5M in FY2025 versus $8.7M in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was $3.5M in FY2025, compounding −14.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $17.8M · P/E ratio 4.2 · P/S ratio 2.71 · EPS (TTM) $0.0900 · Net margin 64.2% · Return on equity 42.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 87.0% · Operating margin 98.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −13%, CHKR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2652Fair Value $0.3315Bull $0.3978
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0088 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −17.2% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−11.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12% vs −24%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.69% → 71%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 25.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 307 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score85 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−13% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)42% · Top 25%
Return on assets29% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)69% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)99% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth29% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)20.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
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Is Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3315 versus a price of $0.3800, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHKR?
Our model-based fair value for Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is $0.3315 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3800.
What is the quality score of CHKR?
Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust has a Quality Score of 85/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3315 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2652, optimistic scenario $0.3978. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3315, about −13% upside versus a price of $0.3800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2652, optimistic scenario $0.3978. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust it is $0.3315 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.3800. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CHKR trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.3800, fair value $0.3315, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHKR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3315). For Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust the two are $0.0485 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust worth?
The market values Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust at about $17.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.3800; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3315 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHKR?
Our models span a range for Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust: cautious scenario $0.2652, base $0.3315, optimistic $0.3978 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.3800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CHKR?
Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.3315 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 3.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 42.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 85/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHKR from its 52-week high?
Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust trades at $0.3800, about 14% below its 52-week high of $0.4396 and 18% above the low of $0.3216 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3315 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.3800, calculated fair value $0.3315 (−13%), Quality Score 85/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHKR calculated?
We run Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3315, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.3800. Our model-based fair value is $0.3315, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust
How large is the market capitalisation of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
The market capitalisation of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is $17.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is 2.71 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust are $0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
The net margin of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is 64.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is 42.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is 87.0% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
The operating margin of Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is 98.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
Revenue at Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is growing +29.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)?
Earnings per share at Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust are growing +59.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) hold?
Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust holds more cash than debt, $2.7M net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026