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Chanson International Holding (CHSN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.6M

CI Chanson International Holding logo Chanson International Holding CHSN · US
Price$0.9598
Fair Value$1.51
Upside+57.6%
Quality25/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: High Range $1.13 – $1.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −7.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 58% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (25/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.13). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$119,840 $0.9598 Fair Value $1.51 Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range $0.9598 – $119,840 · fair‑value band $1.13 – $1.89 · the $0.9598 price screens below the $1.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Chanson International Holding (CHSN) currently trades at $0.9598, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.51, implying the stock looks roughly 57.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chanson International Holding generated revenue of $18.3M at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. Net debt stands at $4.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.13 (bear case) to $1.89 (bull case); at $0.9598, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 58%, CHSN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $9.78 $11.88 $14.36 72
Growth-Adj P/E $1.11 $1.59 $2.07 68
Rev-Margin DCF $9.87 $13.31 $17.33 67
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.78 $12.23 $15.33 38
Owner Earnings $5.73 $6.54 $7.57 31
5Y Revenue Exit $9.87 $13.29 $17.62 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.05 $9.86 $11.91 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.02 $7.92 $8.81 38
10Y Revenue Exit $9.60 $12.41 $16.15 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.75 $10.37 $12.40 37
10Y P/E Exit $8.19 $9.22 $10.37 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.5500 $1.78 $2.38 54
Lynch FV $0.4000 $0.5700 $0.7400 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.4000 $0.5700 $0.7400 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.33 $1.78 $2.22 63
P/S Multiple $1.03 $1.38 $1.72 58
P/B Multiple $1.03 $1.38 $1.72 55
EV/EBITDA $7.12 $8.26 $9.39 54
EV/Revenue $10.29 $13.11 $15.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.12 $16.24 $24.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.78 $11.88 $14.36 72
Rev-Margin DCF $9.87 $13.31 $17.33 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.55 $12.75 $7.50 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.11 $1.59 $2.07 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($16.24) versus Earnings-Based ($0.5700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $18.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.3%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 0.5%
Free cash flow $1.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 0.4
More key figures
Operating margin -8.0%
EPS (TTM) $3.00
EPS growth (YoY) -95.8%
Net debt $4.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 13
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chanson International Holding manufactures and sells a range of bakery products, seasonal products, and beverage products for individual and corporate customers in the People's Republic of China, Cayman Islands, and the United States.

Full company description

Chanson International Holding manufactures and sells a range of bakery products, seasonal products, and beverage products for individual and corporate customers in the People's Republic of China, Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company offers packaged bakery products, such as cakes, bread, sweets, and snacks; birthday cakes; cookies; fruit cakes, amber-walnut cookies, multigrain and wholewheat bread, cheesecakes, almond pudding; made-in-store pastries; mooncakes and zongzi products; and eat in menu items, including sandwiches, salads, toasts, croissants, soups, and desserts, as well as beverages products. It provides eat-in services in its stores. The company sells its products through a chain of bakeries, as well as digital platforms and third-party online food ordering platforms. It sells its bakery and other products under the George Chanson, Patisserie Chanson, and Chanson brand names. The company was formerly known as formerly known as RON Holding Limited and changed its name to Chanson International Holding in December 2020. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Urumqi, China. Chanson International Holding is a subsidiary of Danton Global Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chanson International Holding reported revenue of $18.3M in FY2025 versus $14.7M in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was $188K in FY2025, compounding −22.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$18.3M
Latest YoY
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Revenue +5.6%/yr
FY21 $14.7M
FY22 $13.3M
FY23 $17.3M
FY24 $18.2M
FY25 $18.3M
Net income −22.0%/yr
FY21 $507K
FY22 −$1.3M
FY23 $33.6K
FY24 $756K
FY25 $188K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chanson International Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHSN

Peer Group

Restaurants · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +58% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 2 · sector 16
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCDS C$24.01 C$10.84 -55%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $105.49 $35.83 -66%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $34.63 $18.43 -47%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $163.54 $59.66 -64%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$104.19 C$36.37 -65%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $195.74 $173.68 -11%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $43.90 $55.10 +26%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $197.03 $104.89 -47%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $68.36 $12.80 -81%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $322.18 $231.96 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chanson International Holding (CHSN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.51 versus a price of $0.9598, about +58% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHSN?
Our model-based fair value for Chanson International Holding is $1.51 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.9598.
What is the quality score of CHSN?
Chanson International Holding has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chanson International Holding (CHSN)?
Chanson International Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHSN?
The net profit margin of Chanson International Holding is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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