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Data-driven stock valuation

Chiyoda Corp ADR (CHYCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Chiyoda Corp ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.2B · ISIN US17025X1028

At a glance

CC Chiyoda Corp ADR logo Chiyoda Corp ADR CHYCY · US
Price$4.08
Fair Value$5.13
Upside+25.7%
Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 20% below our fair value of $5.13.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Chiyoda Corp ADR is $5.13 per share against a price of $4.08, so the fair value sits 26% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +10.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.1% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/13)
✓Wide moat 67/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $2.35 to $6.31

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $4.97 to $5.13 (+3.2%) since Aug 19, 2026.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.35 to $6.31). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.87 $1.53 Fair Value $5.13 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.53 – $9.87 · fair‑value band $2.35 – $6.31 · the $4.08 price screens below the $5.13 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Chiyoda Corp ADR (CHYCY) currently trades at $4.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.13, implying the stock looks roughly 20.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $8.26 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the $4.08 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.49, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chiyoda Corp ADR generated revenue of ¥494B at a net margin of 17.1%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 120.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥123B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $2.35 (bear) to $6.31 (bull), the price of $4.08 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 26%, CHYCY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2250 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $2.58 $3.37 $4.38 82
Growth DCF $2.61 $3.30 $4.15 80
Owner Earnings $4.98 $6.73 $8.98 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $2.58 $3.37 $4.38 82
Owner Earnings $4.98 $6.73 $8.98 77
5Y Revenue Exit $3.32 $4.97 $7.05 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.79 $5.83 $8.17 75
5Y P/E Exit $5.21 $8.43 $11.74 70
10Y Revenue Exit $2.90 $4.24 $5.98 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.26 $4.78 $6.74 68
10Y P/E Exit $4.08 $6.41 $9.18 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.14 $8.70 $11.43 65
Lynch FV $1.74 $2.49 $3.24 61
PEG = 1.0 $1.74 $2.49 $3.24 57
EPV $3.85 $4.29 $4.66 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.26 $9.69 $12.11 63
P/S Multiple $4.04 $5.38 $6.73 58
P/B Multiple $1.98 $2.64 $3.30 55
EV/EBIT $6.34 $8.24 $10.14 66
EV/EBITDA $5.17 $6.68 $8.19 67
EV/Revenue $4.02 $5.48 $6.93 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2937 $0.3936 $0.5875 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.61 $3.30 $4.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.32 $4.97 $6.80 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.76 $4.76 $96.64 58
ROIC Compounder $3.85 $4.29 $4.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.78 $8.26 $10.74 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($8.26) versus Asset-Based ($0.3936). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.0
P/S ratio 1.37 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.5100 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.0
Net margin 17.1% FY2026
Return on equity 120% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 4.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥494B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −4.7% 3y avg +6.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥41.5B FY2026
Net cash ¥123B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 76
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 30
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Chiyoda Corporation engages in the integrated engineering business in Japan and internationally. It provides consulting, planning, engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, and maintenance services for facilities related to gas, electricity, petroleum, petrochemical, chemical, pharmaceutical, antipollution, environment, preservation, and other …

Full company description

Chiyoda Corporation engages in the integrated engineering business in Japan and internationally. It provides consulting, planning, engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, and maintenance services for facilities related to gas, electricity, petroleum, petrochemical, chemical, pharmaceutical, antipollution, environment, preservation, and other services. The company also explores for oil, gas, and other mineral resources, as well as invests in and finances exploration activities. Chiyoda Corporation was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Chiyoda Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥524B in FY2026 versus ¥311B in FY2022, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥89.8B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$524B
Latest YoY
+14.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +17.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+17.2%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 17.2% vs 10Y 12.0%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2.2% (2021) → 16.6% (2026) · rising
Worst earnings drop3,435% (2019) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Final year 2026 sits 102% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue +13.9%/yr
FY22 ¥311B
FY23 ¥430B
FY24 ¥506B
FY25 ¥457B
FY26 ¥524B
Net income
FY22 −¥12.6B
FY23 ¥15.2B
FY24 −¥15.8B
FY25 ¥27.0B
FY26 ¥89.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chiyoda Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHYCY

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 818 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 120% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.20× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Chiyoda Corp ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-2.8 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+10.7 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price6.35 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models10.3 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE68 · sector 17
FUTURE0 · sector 11
PAST100 · sector 26
HEALTH90 · sector 94
DIVIDEND0 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $620.06 $143.92 −77%
Vinci SA DG €113.95 €185.62 +63%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,610 $519.97 −68%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 −46%
Ferrovial N.V FER €49.88 €19.17 −62%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €426.00 €203.87 −52%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 373,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −30%
EMCOR Group EME $754.16 $549.47 −27%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $241.00 $100.00 −59%
Bouygues SA EN €46.65 €65.67 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chiyoda Corp ADR (CHYCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.13 versus a price of $4.08, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CHYCY?
Our model-based fair value for Chiyoda Corp ADR is $5.13 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.08.
What is the quality score of CHYCY?
Chiyoda Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chiyoda Corp ADR (CHYCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.13 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.35, optimistic scenario $6.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chiyoda Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.13, about +26% upside versus a price of $4.08 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.35, optimistic scenario $6.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chiyoda Corp ADR (CHYCY)?
Chiyoda Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥494B (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CHYCY?
The net profit margin of Chiyoda Corp ADR is about 17.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Chiyoda Corp ADR (CHYCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chiyoda Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -2.8 % per year for ten years (discount rate 10.3 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.7 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CHYCY use?
Our models discount Chiyoda Corp ADR at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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