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COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings $5.91, price $2.17, upside +172.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · ISIN CNE1000002J7

CS COSCO SHIPPING Holdings logo Some data Oct 3, 2026

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings

CICOF · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $5.91 · Strongly undervalued (+172.4%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2.24 $0.0724 Fair Value $5.91 Jul 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0724 – $2.24 · fair‑value band $4.53 – $7.68 · the $2.17 price screens below the $5.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the container shipping business in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates through Container Shipping Business, Terminal Business, and Other Businesses segments.

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COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the container shipping business in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates through Container Shipping Business, Terminal Business, and Other Businesses segments. The company offers routes and maritime container transportation services, logistics and port service, and digital supply chain service for enterprises in cross-border e-commerce, home appliances, photovoltaic, automobile, and other industries. It also provides management and financing services; freight forwarding and transportation; property lease; shipping agency; vessel chartering; marine; document services; vessel management and manning; cargo and liner agency; asset management; technical services, container maintenance, container yard warehousing services; multimodal transport; terminal operations; and supply chain management services. In addition, the company engages in the operation of rail terminals. As of December 31, 2025, it operated container fleet of 590 ships with a total capacity of approximately 3.60 million TEUs. The company was formerly known as China COSCO Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. in November 2016. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Tianjin, China.

Stock analysis

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF) currently trades at $2.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.91, implying the stock looks roughly 63.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $7.92 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the $2.17 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.49, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $4.53 (bear) to $7.68 (bull), the price of $2.17 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings reported revenue of 214B CNY in FY2025 versus 334B CNY in FY2021, a compound −10.5%/yr. Reported net income was 30.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding −23.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $33.7B · P/E ratio 6.4 · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) $0.2900 · Net margin 14.1% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.9% · Operating margin 12.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 44% fair-value upside, at 172%, CICOF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.53 Fair Value $5.91 Bull $7.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.30 $7.08 $12.13 76
EPV $3.50 $3.89 $4.22 74
Growth DCF $4.25 $6.73 $11.07 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.30 $7.08 $12.13 76
Owner Earnings $4.88 $8.19 $14.19 72
5Y Revenue Exit $3.95 $6.16 $9.21 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.30 $9.03 $13.84 72
5Y P/E Exit $5.09 $8.58 $12.69 68
10Y Revenue Exit $3.95 $6.12 $9.57 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.95 $8.26 $13.56 64
10Y P/E Exit $4.81 $7.92 $12.57 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.96 $10.08 $13.93 61
Lynch FV $2.75 $3.93 $5.10 59
PEG = 1.0 $2.75 $3.93 $5.10 55
EPV $3.50 $3.89 $4.22 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.12 $4.40 $6.98 64
DDM Multi-Stage $2.12 $3.71 $4.62 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.55 $6.06 $7.58 63
P/S Multiple $3.08 $4.11 $5.13 58
P/B Multiple $3.68 $4.91 $6.13 55
EV/EBIT $5.09 $6.38 $7.68 66
EV/EBITDA $6.08 $7.71 $9.33 67
EV/Revenue $3.80 $4.90 $6.01 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.12 $1.49 $2.23 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.25 $6.73 $11.07 74
Rev-Margin DCF $3.95 $6.09 $8.94 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.13 $2.51 $3.26 74
ROIC Compounder $3.86 $4.82 $6.06 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.14 $5.91 $7.68 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 87
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.0% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+25.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.25.4% vs 53.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+0.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −19.6% a year for the price and −1.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−1.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)−0.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)−0.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+0.1%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 226 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.9% · Above median
Return on assets 3.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 54.1% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.11× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.89× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.3× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,738 ₹1,041 −40%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAG €141.20 €88.00 −38%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.36 ¥6.41 +20%
SITC International Holdings 1308 HK$48.54 HK$64.78 +33%
HMM Co 011200 21,500 KRW 33,795 KRW +57%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 115.50 TWD 191.50 TWD +66%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.40 ¥5.58 +64%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥9.75 ¥15.59 +60%
China Merchants Port Holdings 0144 HK$16.89 HK$24.25 +44%
The National Shipping Company 4030 36.00 SAR 44.07 SAR +22%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CICOF

Frequently asked questions

Is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.91 versus a price of $2.17, about +172% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CICOF?
Our model-based fair value for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is $5.91 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.17.
What is the quality score of CICOF?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.91 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.53, optimistic scenario $7.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the COSCO SHIPPING Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.91, about +172% upside versus a price of $2.17 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.53, optimistic scenario $7.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 213B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by -18.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CICOF use?
Our models discount COSCO SHIPPING Holdings at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For COSCO SHIPPING Holdings that is -18.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings grew +4.5 % a year. The price currently implies -18.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (-18.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.51 %: that much free cash flow COSCO SHIPPING Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For COSCO SHIPPING Holdings it is $5.91 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $2.17. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, CICOF trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.17, fair value $5.91, a gap of about +172% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CICOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.91). For COSCO SHIPPING Holdings the two are $3.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings worth?
The market values COSCO SHIPPING Holdings at about $33.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $2.17; our models calculate a fair value of $5.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CICOF?
Our models span a range for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings: cautious scenario $4.53, base $5.91, optimistic $7.68 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $2.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CICOF?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.4 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.91 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 1.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CICOF from its 52-week high?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings trades at $2.17, about 3% below its 52-week high of $2.24 and 41% above the low of $1.54 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to COSCO SHIPPING Holdings?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, SITC International Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is COSCO SHIPPING Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $2.17, calculated fair value $5.91 (+172%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CICOF calculated?
We run COSCO SHIPPING Holdings through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings currently trades 63 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $2.17. Our model-based fair value is $5.91, about +172% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with COSCO SHIPPING Holdings right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.53). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
The market capitalisation of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is $33.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is 0.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
Earnings per share at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings are $0.2900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
The net margin of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is 14.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is 17.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
The operating margin of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
Revenue at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings is growing −10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF)?
Earnings per share at COSCO SHIPPING Holdings are growing −48.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (CICOF) hold?
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings holds more cash than debt, 74.9B CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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