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CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of CK Hutchison Holdings $17.18, price $8.59, upside +100.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
CK Hutchison Holdings
CKHUF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $17.18 · Strongly undervalued (+100.0%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $7.87 to $29.33
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.6772 – $9.40 · fair‑value band $7.87 – $29.33 · the $8.59 price screens below the $17.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
CK Hutchison Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily operates in ports and related services, retail, infrastructure, and telecommunications businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Europe, Canada, Asia, Australia, and internationally.
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CK Hutchison Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily operates in ports and related services, retail, infrastructure, and telecommunications businesses in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Europe, Canada, Asia, Australia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Ports and Related Services, Retail, Infrastructure, and Telecommunications. It invests in, develops, and operates ports, which operate 295 berths in 53 ports spanning 24 countries; and provides logistics and transportation-related services, such as cruise ship terminals, distribution centers, rail services, and ship repair facilities. It also operates retail brands with stores that offer personal care, health and beauty products, food and fine wines, consumer electronics, and electrical appliances, as well as operates supermarkets under Watsons, PARKnSHOP, and FORTRESS brands; and manufactures and distributes water and other beverages under the Watsons Water and Mr. Juicy brands. In addition, the company invests in energy infrastructure, transportation infrastructure, water infrastructure, waste management, waste-to-energy, household infrastructure, and other infrastructure related businesses. Further, the company provides mobile telecommunications and data services, as well as operates as an integrated energy company. Additionally, it researches, develops, manufactures, commercializes, markets, and sells nutraceuticals, pharmaceuticals, and agriculture-related products; provides marine construction and ship repair yard, water supply and sewerage, electricity generation and distribution, and gas distribution. CK Hutchison Holdings Limited was founded in 1828 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF) currently trades at $8.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.18, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $28.64 per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the $8.59 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.56, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $7.87 (bear) to $29.33 (bull), the price of $8.59 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
CK Hutchison Holdings reported revenue of HK$280B in FY2025 versus HK$281B in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$11.8B in FY2025, compounding −22.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $32.9B · P/E ratio 22.0 · P/S ratio 0.93 · EPS (TTM) $0.3900 · Net margin 4.2% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5% · Operating margin 10.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 100%, CKHUF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.87
Fair Value $17.18
Bull $29.33
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$13.30
$12.83
$12.78
74
Growth DCF
$25.02
$52.47
$97.46
72
Owner Earnings
$18.34
$45.38
$102.16
67
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$18.34
$45.38
$102.16
67
5Y P/E Exit
$9.94
$20.27
$33.42
66
10Y P/E Exit
$15.05
$28.64
$48.82
59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$2.68
$18.68
$26.22
61
Lynch FV
$9.65
$13.79
$17.92
59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$2.60
$5.41
$8.58
64
DDM Multi-Stage
$2.60
$4.56
$5.68
64
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$6.20
$8.27
$10.34
63
P/B Multiple
$5.02
$6.70
$8.37
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$9.36
$12.54
$18.72
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$25.02
$52.47
$97.46
72
Rev-Margin DCF
$13.44
$23.82
$45.73
67
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$13.30
$12.83
$12.78
74
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
52/100
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Profitability
18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
’13
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.7% vs −9.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.7% a year for the price and +9.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+85.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−2.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)−2.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)−1.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)−0.8%
Watch CKHUF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Very negative
Recent news coverage is unusually downbeat.
- CK Hutchison Holdings Ltd's Dividend Analysis
- CK Hutchison Telecom Sale To Vodafone Puts Capital Allocation In Focus
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 362 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$12.94 | HK$25.88 | +100% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$102.00 | HK$28.34 | −72% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 611,000 KRW | 348,688 KRW | −43% |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 | $55.36 | $78.34 | +42% |
| Keppel Ltd BN4 | 11.30 SGD | 3.88 SGD | −66% |
| Kingdom Holding 4280 | 13.08 SAR | 13.40 SAR | +2% |
| Koç Holding KCHOL | 216.50 TRY | 182.26 TRY | −16% |
| Aker ASA AKER | kr 1,396 | kr 1,017 | −27% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.18 versus a price of $8.59, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CKHUF?
Our model-based fair value for CK Hutchison Holdings is $17.18 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.59.
What is the quality score of CKHUF?
CK Hutchison Holdings has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.18 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.87, optimistic scenario $29.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CK Hutchison Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.18, about +100% upside versus a price of $8.59 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $7.87, optimistic scenario $29.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
CK Hutchison Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$280B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CK Hutchison Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by -7.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CKHUF use?
Our models discount CK Hutchison Holdings at 8.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.76, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CK Hutchison Holdings that is -7.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CK Hutchison Holdings grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies -7.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CK Hutchison Holdings (-7.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.97 %: that much free cash flow CK Hutchison Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CK Hutchison Holdings it is $17.18 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $8.59. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CK Hutchison Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, CKHUF trades below its calculated fair value: price $8.59, fair value $17.18, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CKHUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.18). For CK Hutchison Holdings the two are $8.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CK Hutchison Holdings worth?
The market values CK Hutchison Holdings at about $32.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $8.59; our models calculate a fair value of $17.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CKHUF?
Our models span a range for CK Hutchison Holdings: cautious scenario $7.87, base $17.18, optimistic $29.33 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $8.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CKHUF?
CK Hutchison Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.18 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5.
What is the PEG ratio of CKHUF?
The PEG ratio of CK Hutchison Holdings is 0.50 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
Balance-sheet figures for CK Hutchison Holdings (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CKHUF from its 52-week high?
CK Hutchison Holdings trades at $8.59, about 9% below its 52-week high of $9.40 and 37% above the low of $6.25 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CK Hutchison Holdings?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CK Hutchison Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $8.59, calculated fair value $17.18 (+100%), Quality Score 52/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CKHUF calculated?
We run CK Hutchison Holdings through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CK Hutchison Holdings currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $8.59. Our model-based fair value is $17.18, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CK Hutchison Holdings right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($7.87 to $29.33). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF) come from?
Earnings per share at CK Hutchison Holdings grew −7.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.3 %, EBIT margin +4.1 %, tax rate −1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −14.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of CK Hutchison Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
The market capitalisation of CK Hutchison Holdings is $32.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CK Hutchison Holdings is 0.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
Earnings per share at CK Hutchison Holdings are $0.3900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
The net margin of CK Hutchison Holdings is 4.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CK Hutchison Holdings is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CK Hutchison Holdings is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
The operating margin of CK Hutchison Holdings is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
Revenue at CK Hutchison Holdings is growing −2.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF)?
Earnings per share at CK Hutchison Holdings are growing +59.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CK Hutchison Holdings (CKHUF) carry?
The net debt of CK Hutchison Holdings is HK$190B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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