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Clarke Inc (CKI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$298M

CI Clarke Inc CKI · TO
PriceC$23.30
Fair ValueC$17.06
Upside-26.8%
Quality42/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 35.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range C$12.80 – C$21.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +1.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$21.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$36.49 C$8.25 Fair Value C$17.06 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$8.25 – C$36.49 · fair‑value band C$12.80 – C$21.33 · the C$23.30 price screens above the C$17.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Clarke Inc (CKI) currently trades at C$23.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$17.06, implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Clarke Inc generated revenue of C$82.4M at a net margin of 35.8%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at C$285M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$12.80 (bear case) to C$21.33 (bull case); at C$23.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -27%, CKI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income C$14.87 C$14.05 C$11.16 76
Rev-Margin DCF C$3.48 C$19.14 74
Gordon GGM C$0.2900 C$0.4800 C$0.6200 70
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings C$10.21 C$29.50 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$1.51 C$14.98 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$1.07 C$13.54 C$38.04 41
5Y P/E Exit C$14.50 C$36.22 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$2.11 C$8.17 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$13.04 C$41.30 37
10Y P/E Exit C$8.85 C$30.51 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$6.83 C$47.60 C$66.80 54
Lynch FV C$24.59 C$35.13 C$45.67 50
PEG = 1.0 C$24.59 C$35.13 C$45.67 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM C$0.2900 C$0.4800 C$0.6200 70
DDM Multi-Stage C$0.2900 C$0.4600 C$0.5200 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$15.06 C$20.08 C$25.09 63
P/S Multiple C$11.80 C$15.73 C$19.66 58
P/B Multiple C$12.80 C$17.06 C$21.33 55
EV/EBIT C$0.6800 C$5.00 C$9.33 53
EV/EBITDA C$6.29 C$12.49 C$18.69 54
EV/Revenue C$0.2000 C$3.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$11.04 C$14.80 C$22.09 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF C$3.48 C$19.14 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$14.87 C$14.05 C$11.16 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$31.69 C$45.27 C$58.85 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$45.27) versus Dividend Discount (C$0.4600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$82.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.6%
Net margin 35.8%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow C$4.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.5
More key figures
Operating margin 12.2%
EPS (TTM) C$2.19
EPS growth (YoY) +33.0%
Net debt C$285M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Clarke Inc. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in middle market, turnaround, PIPEs, bridge financing, recapitalization, and buyout companies. It invests in undervalued or underperforming businesses with hard assets.

Full company description

Clarke Inc. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in middle market, turnaround, PIPEs, bridge financing, recapitalization, and buyout companies. It invests in undervalued or underperforming businesses with hard assets. It invests in companies, securities or other assets such as real estate, which can be public or private entities. The firm primarily invests equity, debt and other securities. It invests in industries that have hard assets, including manufacturing, industrial, energy, materials, and real estate businesses. The firm invests in debt and equity securities of companies engaged in the oil and gas industry. It prefers to purchase well-priced equity securities rather than well-priced debt securities, and securities of oil service firms rather than E&P firms. The firm primarily invests in companies in Canada and United states of America. It seeks active involvement in the governance and/or management of the company it invests in. The firm may participate in Portfolio Company's board of directors. It makes balance sheet investments. Clarke Inc. was founded in 1997 and is based in Halifax, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Clarke Inc reported revenue of C$81.6M in FY2025 versus C$60.0M in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$13.0M in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$81.6M
Latest YoY
+7.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
−4.0%
Revenue +8.0%/yr
FY21 C$60.0M
FY22 C$60.0M
FY23 C$81.6M
FY24 C$76.2M
FY25 C$81.6M
Net income −5.6%/yr
FY21 C$16.4M
FY22 C$3.2M
FY23 C$3.4M
FY24 C$37.8M
FY25 C$13.0M

CKI screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Clarke Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CKI

Peer Group

Lodging · 169 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.56× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.60× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 51.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 3
FUTURE 23 · sector 18
PAST 42 · sector 11
HEALTH 72 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $369.05 $135.64 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $328.48 $123.67 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $159.87 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $191.00 $47.69 -75%
H World Group HTHT $42.67 $47.55 +11%
Accor SA AC €47.25 €39.26 -17%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.20 ₹260.68 -65%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $78.54 $24.02 -69%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 113,500 KRW 36,890 KRW -67%
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $111.29 $62.55 -44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Clarke Inc (CKI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$17.06 versus a price of C$23.30, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CKI?
Our model-based fair value for Clarke Inc is C$17.06 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$23.30.
What is the quality score of CKI?
Clarke Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Clarke Inc (CKI)?
Clarke Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$82.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CKI?
The net profit margin of Clarke Inc is about 35.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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