Clarke Inc (CKI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$298M
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$21.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$8.25 – C$36.49 · fair‑value band C$12.80 – C$21.33 · the C$23.30 price screens above the C$17.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Clarke Inc (CKI) currently trades at C$23.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$17.06, implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Clarke Inc generated revenue of C$82.4M at a net margin of 35.8%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at C$285M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$12.80 (bear case) to C$21.33 (bull case); at C$23.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -27%, CKI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$45.27) versus Dividend Discount (C$0.4600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Clarke Inc. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in middle market, turnaround, PIPEs, bridge financing, recapitalization, and buyout companies. It invests in undervalued or underperforming businesses with hard assets.
Full company description
Clarke Inc. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in investments in middle market, turnaround, PIPEs, bridge financing, recapitalization, and buyout companies. It invests in undervalued or underperforming businesses with hard assets. It invests in companies, securities or other assets such as real estate, which can be public or private entities. The firm primarily invests equity, debt and other securities. It invests in industries that have hard assets, including manufacturing, industrial, energy, materials, and real estate businesses. The firm invests in debt and equity securities of companies engaged in the oil and gas industry. It prefers to purchase well-priced equity securities rather than well-priced debt securities, and securities of oil service firms rather than E&P firms. The firm primarily invests in companies in Canada and United states of America. It seeks active involvement in the governance and/or management of the company it invests in. The firm may participate in Portfolio Company's board of directors. It makes balance sheet investments. Clarke Inc. was founded in 1997 and is based in Halifax, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Clarke Inc reported revenue of C$81.6M in FY2025 versus C$60.0M in FY2021, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$13.0M in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.
CKI screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →
Peer Group
Lodging · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marriott International, Inc MAR | $369.05 | $135.64 | -63% |
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT | $328.48 | $123.67 | -62% |
| InterContinental Hotels Group IHG | $159.87 | $85.18 | -47% |
| Hyatt Hotels Corporation H | $191.00 | $47.69 | -75% |
| H World Group HTHT | $42.67 | $47.55 | +11% |
| Accor SA AC | €47.25 | €39.26 | -17% |
| The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL | ₹743.20 | ₹260.68 | -65% |
| Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH | $78.54 | $24.02 | -69% |
| Hanjin Kal, 180640 | 113,500 KRW | 36,890 KRW | -67% |
| Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH | $111.29 | $62.55 | -44% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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