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Clearfield Inc (CLFD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Clearfield Inc $37.01, price $31.07, upside +19.1%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN US18482P1030

CI Clearfield Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Clearfield Inc

CLFD · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value $37.01 · Undervalued (+19%)
!Quality 55/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +10.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$131.62 $23.01 Fair Value $37.01 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $23.01 – $131.62 · fair‑value band $25.33 – $50.78 · the $31.07 price screens below the $37.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Clearfield, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes fiber management, protection, and delivery products in the United States and internationally.

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Clearfield, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes fiber management, protection, and delivery products in the United States and internationally. The company offers FieldSmart, a series of panels, cabinets, wall boxes, and other enclosures; WaveSmart, an optical component integrated for signal coupling, splitting, termination, multiplexing, demultiplexing, and attenuation for integration within its fiber management platform; and FiberFlex, an outdoor active cabinet for mounting and configuration of electronic equipment. It also provides CraftSmart FiberFirst pedestals, an access terminal that offers cable management and mounting bracket kit that support the deployment of access terminals; YOURx, an access terminal that provides flexibility with cable mid-span and internal splicing options; FieldShield, a fiber pathway and protection method for reducing the cost of broadband deployment; Fiber Assemblies used for industry-standard or customer-specified configurations; and ClearPass Connector Cleaning Dust Cap, which simplifies fiber connector cleaning while enhancing network performance. In addition, the company offers fiber to the premise, fiber to the business, DC interconnect/campus network, meet-me room, main distribution area, and white space. Further, it provides metro core, backhaul, indoor/outdoor DAS, small cells, and FTT-cell site. The company serves various service providers, including national carriers, community broadband, multiple system operators, legacy build-to-print copper and fiber assemblies, large enterprises, and original equipment manufacturer markets. It sells its products through sales force and authorized distributors. The company was formerly known as APA Enterprises, Inc. and changed its name to Clearfield, Inc. in January 2008. Clearfield, Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Stock analysis

Clearfield Inc (CLFD) currently trades at $31.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.01, implying the stock looks roughly 16.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $23.47 per share, and 2 of the 13 models we run sit above the $31.07 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $5.16, and 11 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $25.33 (bear) to $50.78 (bull), the price of $31.07 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Clearfield Inc reported revenue of $150M in FY2025 versus $141M in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $550M · P/E ratio 135.1 · P/S ratio 3.70 · EPS (TTM) $0.2300 · Net margin −5.4% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% · Operating margin −6.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 19%, CLFD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $25.33 Fair Value $37.01 Bull $50.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2262 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $26.17 $37.54 $71.55 75
EPV $2.04 $2.13 $2.20 74
Growth DCF $24.60 $41.49 $68.03 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $26.17 $37.54 $71.55 75
5Y Revenue Exit $10.41 $12.88 $17.69 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.80 $19.71 $31.16 72
10Y Revenue Exit $15.73 $23.47 $25.59 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $18.04 $30.11 $48.60 65
Earnings-Based
EPV $2.04 $2.13 $2.20 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $4.22 $5.16 $6.09 66
EV/EBITDA $7.84 $9.98 $12.12 67
EV/Revenue $2.84 $3.44 $4.05 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.43 $12.63 $18.85 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $24.60 $41.49 $68.03 74
Rev-Margin DCF $10.92 $14.58 $22.17 70
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $2.04 $2.13 $2.20 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.5% a year
Revenue growth 37 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.0% (2020) → 1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.5% a year for the price and +13.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+9.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+21.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+19.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+16.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+14.2%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 311 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +19% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −15% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 135.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.70× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 22.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)59 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $106.44 $117.08 +10%
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥927.72 ¥349.40 −62%
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥62.98 ¥14.18 −77%
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥455.00 ¥329.86 −28%
Nokia Oyj NOK $10.82 $3.74 −65%
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $456.70 $248.10 −46%
Ciena Corporation CIEN $368.56 $48.80 −87%
Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 ¥275.84 ¥87.34 −68%
Accton Technology Corporation 2345 1,895 TWD 2,085 TWD +10%
Ubiquiti Inc UI $580.88 $542.64 −7%

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Clearfield Inc · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Clearfield Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLFD

Frequently asked questions

Is Clearfield Inc (CLFD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.01 versus a price of $31.07, about +19% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CLFD?
Our model-based fair value for Clearfield Inc is $37.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $31.07.
What is the quality score of CLFD?
Clearfield Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $37.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $25.33, optimistic scenario $50.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Clearfield Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $37.01, about +19% upside versus a price of $31.07 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $25.33, optimistic scenario $50.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Clearfield Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $149M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Clearfield Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +11.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CLFD use?
Our models discount Clearfield Inc at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.09, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Clearfield Inc that is +11.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Clearfield Inc (CLFD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Clearfield Inc grew +10.0 % a year. The price currently implies +11.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Clearfield Inc (CLFD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Clearfield Inc (+11.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.68 %: that much free cash flow Clearfield Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Clearfield Inc it is $37.01 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $31.07. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Clearfield Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CLFD trades below its calculated fair value: price $31.07, fair value $37.01, a gap of about +19% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CLFD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($31.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($37.01). For Clearfield Inc the two are $5.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Clearfield Inc worth?
The market values Clearfield Inc at about $550M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $31.07; our models calculate a fair value of $37.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CLFD?
Our models span a range for Clearfield Inc: cautious scenario $25.33, base $37.01, optimistic $50.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $31.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CLFD?
Clearfield Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 135.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $37.01 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 3.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Clearfield Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CLFD from its 52-week high?
Clearfield Inc trades at $31.07, about 39% below its 52-week high of $51.26 and 20% above the low of $26.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $37.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Clearfield Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Clearfield Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $31.07, calculated fair value $37.01 (+19%), Quality Score 55/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CLFD calculated?
We run Clearfield Inc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $37.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Clearfield Inc currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $31.07. Our model-based fair value is $37.01, about +19% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Clearfield Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range ($25.33 to $50.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Clearfield Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The market capitalisation of Clearfield Inc is $550M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Clearfield Inc is 3.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Earnings per share at Clearfield Inc are $0.2300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 135.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The net margin of Clearfield Inc is −5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Clearfield Inc is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Clearfield Inc is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The operating margin of Clearfield Inc is −6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Revenue at Clearfield Inc is growing −15.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Earnings per share at Clearfield Inc are growing −85.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Clearfield Inc (CLFD) hold?
Clearfield Inc holds more cash than debt, $12.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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