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Clearfield Inc (CLFD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Clearfield Inc stock $10.93, price $28.63, that is 61.8% below the price, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 13 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US

CI Clearfield Inc logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

Clearfield Inc

CLFD · US
Solid, but very expensive

Our calculation puts a fair price 62% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Profit last quarter +104% vs. a year ago.
Quality 57/100
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Insiders sold $837,974 (6M)
Some data
Fair value $10.93 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −17.9 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -4.7% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 20/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$131.62 $23.01 Fair Value $10.93 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $23.01 – $131.62 · fair‑value band $7.21 – $13.66 · the $28.63 price screens above the $10.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Clearfield, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and distributes fiber management, protection, and delivery products in the United States and internationally.

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The company offers FieldSmart, a series of panels, cabinets, wall boxes, and other enclosures; WaveSmart, an optical component integrated for signal coupling, splitting, termination, multiplexing, demultiplexing, and attenuation for integration within its fiber management platform; and FiberFlex, an outdoor active cabinet for mounting and configuration of electronic equipment.

It also provides CraftSmart FiberFirst pedestals, an access terminal that offers cable management and mounting bracket kit that support the deployment of access terminals; YOURx, an access terminal that provides flexibility with cable mid-span and internal splicing options; FieldShield, a fiber pathway and protection method for reducing the cost of broadband deployment; Fiber Assemblies used for industry-standard or customer-specified configurations; and ClearPass Connector Cleaning Dust Cap, which simplifies fiber connector cleaning while enhancing network performance.

In addition, the company offers fiber to the premise, fiber to the business, DC interconnect/campus network, meet-me room, main distribution area, and white space. Further, it provides metro core, backhaul, indoor/outdoor DAS, small cells, and FTT-cell site.

The company serves various service providers, including national carriers, community broadband, multiple system operators, legacy build-to-print copper and fiber assemblies, large enterprises, and original equipment manufacturer markets.

It sells its products through sales force and authorized distributors. The company was formerly known as APA Enterprises, Inc. and changed its name to Clearfield, Inc. in January 2008. Clearfield, Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Stock analysis

Clearfield Inc (CLFD) currently trades at $28.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.93, 62% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $15.73 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $28.63 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.99, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $7.21 (bear) to $13.66 (bull), the price of $28.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Clearfield Inc reported revenue of $150M in FY2025 versus $141M in FY2021, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$8.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $389M Small · P/S ratio 2.71 · EPS (TTM) $0.5400 · Net margin −5.4% · Return on equity 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.9% · Revenue (TTM) $154M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −62%, CLFD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.21 Fair Value $10.93 Bull $13.66
Price $28.63 · Downside -61.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5400 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $15.73 $21.66 $29.13 79
Growth DCF $15.62 $20.95 $27.29 77
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.01 $14.77 $19.00 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $15.73 $21.66 $29.13 79
5Y Revenue Exit $8.64 $10.21 $11.84 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.01 $14.77 $19.00 74
10Y Revenue Exit $11.76 $13.95 $16.45 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.03 $16.57 $21.00 68
Earnings-Based
EPV $1.93 $1.99 $2.03 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $3.74 $4.68 $5.62 66
EV/EBITDA $7.36 $9.50 $11.64 67
EV/Revenue $2.36 $2.96 $3.57 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.21 $10.93 $13.66 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $15.62 $20.95 $27.29 77
Rev-Margin DCF $8.64 $10.51 $12.86 72
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $1.93 $1.99 $2.03 70

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 15
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 74
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 70
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 48
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 28
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors sold shares worth $837,974 and none bought.

  • SaleCheryl BeranekChief Executive Officer, Director4× since May 8, 2026: 19,278 shares, avg. $44.72$862,027Jul 1, 202610b5-1 plan
  • SaleAnis KhemakhemChief Commercial Officer1,684 shares at $39.90$67,192Jun 9, 2026
  • SaleWalter Louis Jones JRDirector2,391 shares at $46.05$110,106May 11, 2026
  • SaleDonald R. HaywardDirector3,595 shares at $32.00$115,040Feb 19, 2026
  • BuyRonald G RothDirector, 10% owner10,000 shares at $30.06$300,600Dec 15, 2025

Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.5% a year
Revenue growth 37 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.0% (2020) → 1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+10.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.7% a year for the price and +7.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+11.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+11.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+10.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.0%

CLFD screens overvalued: fair value 62% below the price. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Communication Equipment · 303 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −61.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 1.6% · Below median
Return on assets −2.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 5.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 13.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.52× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 2.53× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 15.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 64.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)66 · sector 57
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO $93.85 $103.24 +10% vs CLFD
Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 ¥172.10 ¥189.31 +10% vs CLFD
Ubiquiti Inc UI $592.84 $652.12 +10% vs CLFD
Zhongji Innolight Co 300308 ¥448.00 ¥342.18 −24% vs CLFD
Nokia Oyj NOKIA €6.98 €3.87 −45% vs CLFD
Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI $514.51 $249.63 −51% vs CLFD
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co 601138 ¥40.71 ¥13.93 −66% vs CLFD
Ciena Corporation CIEN $243.39 $74.58 −69% vs CLFD
Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Joint Stock Limited 601869 ¥240.00 ¥59.92 −75% vs CLFD
Lumentum Holdings LITE $538.59 $85.88 −84% vs CLFD

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Clearfield Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Clearfield Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLFD

Frequently asked questions

Is Clearfield Inc (CLFD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.93 versus a price of $28.63, about 62% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLFD?
Our model-based fair value for Clearfield Inc is $10.93 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $28.63.
What is the quality score of CLFD?
Clearfield Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.93 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.21, optimistic scenario $13.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Clearfield Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.93, about 62% lower versus a price of $28.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.21, optimistic scenario $13.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Clearfield Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $154M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Clearfield Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +8.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.0 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CLFD use?
Our models discount Clearfield Inc at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.14, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Clearfield Inc that is +8.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Clearfield Inc (CLFD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Clearfield Inc grew +10.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +8.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Clearfield Inc (CLFD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Clearfield Inc (+8.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.35 %: that much free cash flow Clearfield Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Clearfield Inc it is $10.93 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $28.63. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is Clearfield Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, CLFD trades above its calculated fair value: price $28.63, fair value $10.93, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CLFD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($28.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.93). For Clearfield Inc the two are $17.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Clearfield Inc worth?
The market values Clearfield Inc at about $389M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $28.63; our models calculate a fair value of $10.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CLFD?
Our models span a range for Clearfield Inc: cautious scenario $7.21, base $10.93, optimistic $13.66 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $28.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Clearfield Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 1.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CLFD from its 52-week high?
Clearfield Inc trades at $28.63, about 44% below its 52-week high of $51.26 and 10% above the low of $26.00 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Clearfield Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Zhongji Innolight Co, Motorola Solutions, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Clearfield Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $28.63, calculated fair value $10.93 (−62%), Quality Score 57/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CLFD calculated?
We run Clearfield Inc through 13 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $10.93 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Clearfield Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $28.63. Our model-based fair value is $10.93, about 62% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Clearfield Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($7.21 to $13.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Clearfield Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The market capitalisation of Clearfield Inc is $389M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Clearfield Inc is 2.71 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Earnings per share at Clearfield Inc are $0.5400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The net margin of Clearfield Inc is −5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Clearfield Inc is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Clearfield Inc is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
The operating margin of Clearfield Inc is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Revenue at Clearfield Inc is growing +13.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Clearfield Inc (CLFD)?
Earnings per share at Clearfield Inc are growing +104% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Clearfield Inc (CLFD) hold?
Clearfield Inc holds more cash than debt, $12.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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