Close the Loop Ltd (CLG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$19.0M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from A$0.0230 to A$0.0510 (+121.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −18.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 96% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (18/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0330). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.0330 to A$0.0690) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range A$0.0190 – A$0.4950 · fair‑value band A$0.0330 – A$0.0690 · the A$0.0260 price screens below the A$0.0510 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Close the Loop Ltd (CLG) currently trades at A$0.0260, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0510, implying the stock looks roughly 96.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Close the Loop Ltd generated revenue of A$197M at a net margin of -27.6%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -37.0%. Net debt stands at A$84.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0330 (bear case) to A$0.0690 (bull case); at A$0.0260, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 96%, CLG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.1400) versus Multiples (A$0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when CLG reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Close the Loop Ltd engages in the collection and recycling of electronic equipment, imaging consumables, plastics, paper and cartons, and other related activities in Australia, Europe, South Africa, and the United States. It operates through Packaging and Resource Recovery segments.
Full company description
Close the Loop Ltd engages in the collection and recycling of electronic equipment, imaging consumables, plastics, paper and cartons, and other related activities in Australia, Europe, South Africa, and the United States. It operates through Packaging and Resource Recovery segments. The company take back, recovers, and reuse of complex waste streams, including cosmetics, imaging consumables, plastics, and paper and cartons. In addition, it provides flexible, carton, flexographic print, and seafood packaging, and bulk storage solutions. Additionally, the company supplies thermal paper and other paper products. Further, it offers asphalt additive under TonerPlas. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Oakleigh South, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Close the Loop Ltd reported revenue of A$195M in FY2025 versus A$26.8M in FY2021, a compound +64.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$22.2M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +24.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −21.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch CLG: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 166 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
Compare Close the Loop Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Close the Loop Ltd (CLG) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of CLG?
What is the quality score of CLG?
What is the revenue of Close the Loop Ltd (CLG)?
What is the net profit margin of CLG?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Close the Loop Ltd and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.