Computer Modelling Group Ltd (CMDXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Computer Modelling Group Ltd $2.97, price $2.94, upside +1.0%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Computer Modelling Group Ltd
CMDXF · USNeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.97 – $10.19 · fair‑value band $2.08 – $4.15 · the $2.94 price screens below the $2.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Computer Modelling Group Ltd., a software and consulting technology company, engages in the development and licensing of reservoir simulation and seismic interpretation software and related services.
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Computer Modelling Group Ltd., a software and consulting technology company, engages in the development and licensing of reservoir simulation and seismic interpretation software and related services. The company offers CMOST, an optimization and analysis tool that offers solution for reservoir by combining statistical analysis, machine learning, and impartial data interpretation; IMEX, a black oil reservoir simulator that is used to model primary, secondary, and tertiary oil recovery processes in conventional and unconventional reservoirs; and GEM, an equation of state reservoir simulator software for compositional, chemical, and unconventional reservoir modelling. It also provides CoFlow, a integrated production system modelling software that allows reservoir and production engineers; STARS, a thermal and advanced processes simulator in thermal, chemical enhanced oil recovery, and other advanced processes; and Builder, a pre-processor for simulation model building. In addition, the company offers Results, a post-processor, which delivers visualization and analysis capabilities to provide insight into reservoir characteristics, recovery processes, and reservoir performance; Focus CCS, a validate asset viability in minutes; WinProp, a fluid property characterization tool, and CO2LINK, a dynamic link between CCS simulator and the Transient wellbore simulator for the modelling of complex CO2 phase transition systems; as well as ShaleSim, a platform that provides fracture-to-production optimization. Further, it provides professional services, comprising specialized support, consulting, training, and contract research services. It operates Canada, the United States, South America, the Eastern Hemisphere, Europe, Australia, and Asia. Computer Modelling Group Ltd. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Computer Modelling Group Ltd (CMDXF) currently trades at $2.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.97, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.0%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.97 per share, and 7 of the 26 models we run sit above the $2.94 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.4700, and 19 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $2.08 (bear) to $4.15 (bull), the price of $2.94 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Computer Modelling Group Ltd reported revenue of C$127M in FY2026 versus C$67.4M in FY2022, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$17.5M in FY2026, compounding −1.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $244M · P/E ratio 19.6 · P/S ratio 2.71 · EPS (TTM) $0.1500 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 13.8% · Return on equity 21.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at 1%, CMDXF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Computer Modelling Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 636 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
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- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
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10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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| SAP SE SAP | €186.74 | €172.46 | −8% |
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| Shopify Inc SHOP | $144.01 | $64.36 | −55% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $134.01 | $147.41 | +10% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $69.36 | $103.69 | +49% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $330.31 | $74.36 | −77% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $261.80 | $150.01 | −43% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $239.94 | $454.04 | +89% |
| Datadog, Inc DDOG | $268.70 | $32.52 | −88% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $326.70 | $225.48 | −31% |
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