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Comelf S.A (CMF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · RO · Market cap 95.7M RON

CS Comelf S.A CMF · RO
Price4.30 RON
Fair Value0.6900 RON
Upside-84.0%
Quality64/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range 0.5200 RON – 0.8600 RON Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 4.48 RON to 0.6900 RON (−84.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 84% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.8600 RON). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

6.87 RON 1.09 RON Fair Value 0.6900 RON Feb 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.09 RON – 6.87 RON · fair‑value band 0.5200 RON – 0.8600 RON · the 4.30 RON price screens above the 0.6900 RON fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Comelf S.A (CMF) currently trades at 4.30 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6900 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 84.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Comelf S.A generated revenue of 165M RON at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at 25.5M RON. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.5200 RON (bear case) to 0.8600 RON (bull case); at 4.30 RON, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -84%, CMF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 12.31 RON 15.05 RON 19.24 RON 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7.39 RON 9.12 RON 11.46 RON 74
ROIC Compounder 2.30 RON 2.53 RON 2.71 RON 72
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 12.03 RON 14.94 RON 19.76 RON 38
5Y Revenue Exit 7.39 RON 8.80 RON 10.85 RON 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 9.00 RON 11.58 RON 15.03 RON 41
5Y P/E Exit 7.42 RON 8.86 RON 10.66 RON 38
10Y Revenue Exit 9.48 RON 10.69 RON 11.84 RON 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 10.38 RON 12.17 RON 13.97 RON 37
10Y P/E Exit 9.56 RON 10.72 RON 11.74 RON 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.45 RON 1.91 RON 2.19 RON 54
EPV 2.30 RON 2.53 RON 2.71 RON 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.36 RON 4.48 RON 5.59 RON 63
P/S Multiple 2.72 RON 3.62 RON 4.53 RON 58
P/B Multiple 2.72 RON 3.62 RON 4.53 RON 55
EV/EBIT 4.69 RON 6.11 RON 7.54 RON 53
EV/EBITDA 7.25 RON 9.53 RON 11.81 RON 54
EV/Revenue 3.46 RON 4.77 RON 6.08 RON 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.72 RON 2.30 RON 3.43 RON 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 12.31 RON 15.05 RON 19.24 RON 80
Rev-Margin DCF 7.39 RON 9.12 RON 11.46 RON 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2.44 RON 2.43 RON 2.18 RON 61
ROIC Compounder 2.30 RON 2.53 RON 2.71 RON 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.37 RON 3.39 RON 4.40 RON 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (10.72 RON) versus Earnings-Based (1.91 RON). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 165M RON
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.0%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 5.7%
Free cash flow 35.9M RON FY2024
P/E ratio 21.3
More key figures
Operating margin 4.3%
EPS (TTM) 0.2000 RON
EPS growth (YoY) -14.1%
Net debt 25.5M RON FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Comelf S.A. engages in the manufacture and sale of engines and turbines in Romania and internationally. It operates through Stainless Steel Products Factory; Earthmoving Machinery and Equipment, Filters and Electrofilters Factory; and Earthmoving Components and Machines Factory segments.

Full company description

Comelf S.A. engages in the manufacture and sale of engines and turbines in Romania and internationally. It operates through Stainless Steel Products Factory; Earthmoving Machinery and Equipment, Filters and Electrofilters Factory; and Earthmoving Components and Machines Factory segments. The company offers various industrial equipment and components, including energy industry, earthmoving machinery, military industry, naval equipment, railway equipment, hydromechanical equipment, and tanks and pressure vessels. It also provides laboratory services and measurements and manufacturing services. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Bistrita, Romania. Comelf S.A. is a subsidiary of Uzinsider SA.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Comelf S.A reported revenue of 161M RON in FY2025 versus 139M RON in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was 4.8M RON in FY2025, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
161M RON
Latest YoY
−3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.0%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY21 139M RON
FY22 170M RON
FY23 183M RON
FY24 166M RON
FY25 161M RON
Net income +2.8%/yr
FY21 4.3M RON
FY22 4.1M RON
FY23 9.3M RON
FY24 9.0M RON
FY25 4.8M RON

CMF screens 84% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Comelf S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMF

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 50 · sector 23
PAST 23 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Comelf S.A (CMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6900 RON versus a price of 4.30 RON, about −84% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CMF?
Our model-based fair value for Comelf S.A is 0.6900 RON (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 4.30 RON.
What is the quality score of CMF?
Comelf S.A has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Comelf S.A (CMF)?
Comelf S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 165M RON (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CMF?
The net profit margin of Comelf S.A is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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