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CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. $2.42, price $2.46, upside -1.6%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · US

CR CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.

CMRF · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $2.42 · Fairly valued (−2%)
!Quality 54/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 31.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·14.02% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Moderate moat 59/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$3.33 $0.0006 Fair Value $2.42 May 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range $0.0006 – $3.33 · fair‑value band $1.53 – $2.55 · the $2.46 price screens above the $2.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

CIM Real Estate Finance Trust, Inc. is a non-exchange traded real estate investment trust that elected to be taxed, and operates its business to qualify, as a REIT for U.S. federal income tax purposes beginning with its taxable year ended December 31, 2012.

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CIM Real Estate Finance Trust, Inc. is a non-exchange traded real estate investment trust that elected to be taxed, and operates its business to qualify, as a REIT for U.S. federal income tax purposes beginning with its taxable year ended December 31, 2012. The Company seeks to attain attractive risk-adjusted returns and create long term value for its investors by investing in a diversified portfolio of senior secured mortgage loans, creditworthy long-term net-leased property investments and other senior loan and liquid credit investments. As of September 30, 2025, the Company's loan portfolio consisted of 76 loans with a net book value of $3.2 billion, and investments in real estate-related securities and other of $246.1 million. The Company conducts its commercial real estate lending business through CIM Commercial Lending REIT, a Maryland statutory trust and subsidiary of the Company which the Company expects to be taxed as a REIT for U.S. federal income tax purposes. As of September 30, 2025, CLR holds a diversified portfolio of approximately $1.4 billion which includes first mortgage loans with a net book value of $1.1 billion, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) with an estimated fair value of $142.7 million, and an investment in the Unconsolidated Joint Venture (as defined in Note 2 " Summary of Significant Accounting Policies) with a carrying value of $152.7 million. As of September 30, 2025, the Company owned 198 commercial real estate properties, comprising approximately 6.4 million rentable square feet of commercial space located in 37 states. As of September 30, 2025, the rentable square feet at these properties were 96.9% leased, including month-to-month agreements, if any. As of September 30, 2025, the Company owned condominium developments with a net book value of $17.7 million. CIM Real Estate Finance Trust, Inc. was estab;ished in Maryland on July 27, 2010.

Stock analysis

CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF) currently trades at $2.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.42, implying the stock looks roughly 1.7% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $4.78 per share, and 6 of the 11 models we run sit above the $2.46 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $1.10, and 5 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.53 (bear) to $2.55 (bull), the price of $2.46 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. reported revenue of $416M in FY2025 versus $366M in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $52.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.1B · P/S ratio 2.46 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0400 · Dividend yield 14.0% · Net margin 12.6% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 72.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −2%, CMRF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.53 Fair Value $2.42 Bull $2.55
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $2.26 $5.05 $9.06 74
Residual Income $2.76 $2.67 $2.13 74
Growth DCF $2.23 $4.78 $8.27 73
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.26 $5.05 $9.06 74
5Y Revenue Exit n/a n/a $0.0100 67
5Y EBITDA Exit n/a $0.7700 $1.78 69
10Y Revenue Exit $0.4300 $1.10 $1.85 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.7600 $1.82 $3.14 63
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.16 $3.89 $5.36 66
DDM Multi-Stage $2.16 $3.56 $4.16 65
Multiples
P/S Multiple $1.53 $2.04 $2.55 58
P/B Multiple $1.53 $2.04 $2.55 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.00 $2.68 $4.01 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.23 $4.78 $8.27 73
Rev-Margin DCF n/a n/a $0.2300 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.76 $2.67 $2.13 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)14.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15% vs −5%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.45% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +41.9% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Diversified · 156 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 73% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 14.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.77× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.61× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.64× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 18.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 7.4× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)31 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 16
PAST (return on equity)29 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)61 · sector 75
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 100

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Goodman Group GMG A$26.77 A$7.92 −70%
VICI Properties Inc VICI $23.98 $59.95 +150%
W. P. Carey Inc WPC $66.89 $69.67 +4%
Charter Hall Group CHC A$18.50 A$18.76 +1%
Stockland SGP A$4.20 A$2.79 −34%
COV COV €47.16 €50.01 +6%
The GPT Group GPT A$4.55 A$3.49 −23%
Mirvac Group MGR A$1.78 A$0.7400 −58%
Broadstone Net Lease, Inc BNL $19.12 $19.39 +1%
KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS 8.35 MYR 6.91 MYR −17%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMRF

Frequently asked questions

Is CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.42 versus a price of $2.46, about −2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CMRF?
Our model-based fair value for CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is $2.42 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.46.
What is the quality score of CMRF?
CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.42 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.53, optimistic scenario $2.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.42, about −2% upside versus a price of $2.46 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $1.53, optimistic scenario $2.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $407M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. pay a dividend?
CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 14.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +45.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CMRF use?
Our models discount CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1859.09, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. that is +45.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. grew +7.4 % a year. The price currently implies +45.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (+45.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.39 %: that much free cash flow CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. it is $2.42 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.46. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CMRF trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.46, fair value $2.42, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CMRF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.42). For CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. the two are $0.0400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. worth?
The market values CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.46; our models calculate a fair value of $2.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CMRF?
Our models span a range for CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.: cautious scenario $1.53, base $2.42, optimistic $2.55 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
Balance-sheet figures for CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.3%, debt of 0.77 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CMRF from its 52-week high?
CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. trades at $2.46, about 25% below its 52-week high of $3.28 and 32% above the low of $1.87 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Goodman Group, VICI Properties Inc, W. P. Carey Inc, Charter Hall Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.46, calculated fair value $2.42 (−2%), Quality Score 54/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CMRF calculated?
We run CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $2.46. Our model-based fair value is $2.42, about −2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
The market capitalisation of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is 2.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
Earnings per share at CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. are $−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
The dividend yield of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is 14.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
The net margin of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is 12.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
The operating margin of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is 72.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
Revenue at CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is growing −8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF)?
Earnings per share at CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. are growing +315% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. (CMRF) carry?
The net debt of CIM Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. is $2.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 50.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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