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Cannae Holdings (CNNE) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $602M

CH Cannae Holdings logo Cannae Holdings CNNE · US
Price$14.78
Fair Value$15.61
Upside+5.6%
Quality47/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -103.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
4.13% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $11.65 – $23.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +3.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($11.65 to $23.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$37.44 $10.53 Fair Value $15.61 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.53 – $37.44 · fair‑value band $11.65 – $23.30 · the $14.78 price screens below the $15.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Cannae Holdings (CNNE) currently trades at $14.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.61, implying the stock looks roughly 5.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $417M. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.4%. Net debt stands at $150M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.65 (bear case) to $23.30 (bull case); at $14.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 6%, CNNE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $5.39 $5.81 $6.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.39 $6.42 $7.74 61
NCAV (Graham) $11.65 $15.61 $23.30 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.39 $5.81 $6.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.39 $6.42 $7.74 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.65 $15.61 $23.30 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($15.61) versus Dividend Discount ($5.81). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $417M
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.8%
Net margin -104%
Return on equity -32.4%
Free cash flow −$28.5M FY2025
Operating margin -23.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-7.46
Dividend yield 4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -67.0%
Net debt $150M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cannae Holdings, Inc. is a principal investment firm. The firm primarily invests in restaurants, technology enabled healthcare services, financial services and more. It takes both minority and majority stakes. Cannae Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cannae Holdings reported revenue of $424M in FY2025 versus $742M in FY2021, a compound −13.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$513M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$424M
Latest YoY
−6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
−10.0%
Revenue −13.1%/yr
FY21 $742M
FY22 $662M
FY23 $570M
FY24 $453M
FY25 $424M
Net income
FY21 −$287M
FY22 −$428M
FY23 −$313M
FY24 −$305M
FY25 −$513M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cannae Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNNE

Peer Group

Restaurants · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -104% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 41 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 83 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCDS C$24.01 C$10.84 -55%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $105.49 $35.83 -66%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $34.63 $18.43 -47%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $163.54 $59.66 -64%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$104.19 C$36.37 -65%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $195.74 $173.68 -11%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $43.90 $55.10 +26%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $197.03 $104.89 -47%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $68.36 $12.80 -81%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $322.18 $231.96 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cannae Holdings (CNNE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.61 versus a price of $14.78, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CNNE?
Our model-based fair value for Cannae Holdings is $15.61 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.78.
What is the quality score of CNNE?
Cannae Holdings has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cannae Holdings (CNNE)?
Cannae Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $417M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CNNE?
The net profit margin of Cannae Holdings is about -103.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cannae Holdings pay a dividend?
Cannae Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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