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Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd stock A$0.05, price A$0.05, that is 11.0% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000COB8

CB Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd

COB · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 11% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Ranks above peers (6/9)
Revenue last quarter +112% vs. a year ago.
Quality 41/100
Fair value A$0.0472 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.4 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$1.03 A$0.0470 Fair Value A$0.0472 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0470 – A$1.03 · fair‑value band A$0.0416 – A$0.0527 · the A$0.0530 price screens above the A$0.0472 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Cobalt Blue Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and evaluation of mining properties in Australia. It operates through three segments: Broken Hill Cobalt Project, Kwinana Cobalt Refinery Project, and Halls Creek Project. The company explores for cobalt.

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It holds 100% interest in the Broken Hill cobalt project comprising five exploration licenses and two mining leases covering an area of approximately 220 square kilometers located in the Broken Hill, New South Wales.

It also operates the Kwinana refinery, a cobalt/nickel refinery located in Western Australia that produces battery ready sulphates as feedstock for electric vehicle batteries.

In addition, the company operates Halls Creek Project, a proposed copper/zinc mining project located in the Kimberly region of Western Australia. Cobalt Blue Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is based in North Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB) currently trades at A$0.0530, while our estimate is A$0.0472, 11% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0416 (bear) to A$0.0527 (bull), the price of A$0.0530 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$50.0K in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$8.8M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$31.1M (≈ $21.4M) Micro · P/S ratio 10.7 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −27.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −30.8% (5-year average) · Revenue (TTM) A$2.9M · Revenue growth (YoY) +112% · Free cash flow −A$3.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −11%, COB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0416 Fair Value A$0.0472 Bull A$0.0527
Price A$0.0530 · Downside -11.0%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 50
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 85
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 19
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 5
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 3
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−67.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−4,198.3% (2019) → −51,854.7% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

COB screens overvalued: fair value 11% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/7 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −23.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 112.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 10.87× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)19 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs COB
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs COB
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs COB
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs COB
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs COB
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs COB
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs COB
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs COB
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs COB
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs COB

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Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COB

Frequently asked questions

Is Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0472 versus a price of A$0.0530, about 11% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COB?
Our estimate for Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd is A$0.0472 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0530.
What is the quality score of COB?
Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0472 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0416, optimistic scenario A$0.0527. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0472, about 11% lower versus a price of A$0.0530 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0416, optimistic scenario A$0.0527. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$2.9M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd it is A$0.0472 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0530.
Is Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, COB trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0530, fair value A$0.0472, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0530); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0472). For Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd the two are A$0.0058 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd at about A$31.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0530; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0472 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COB?
Our models span a range for Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0416, base A$0.0472, optimistic A$0.0527 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0530). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −27.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COB from its 52-week high?
Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd trades at A$0.0530, about 58% below its 52-week high of A$0.1250 and 10% above the low of A$0.0480 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0472 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0530, calculated fair value A$0.0472 (−11%), Quality Score 41/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0530. Our estimate is A$0.0472, about 11% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits above our optimistic bull case: the favourable scenario is already priced in. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
The market capitalisation of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd is A$31.1M (≈ $21.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd is 10.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
Earnings per share at Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd is −27.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd is −30.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB)?
Revenue at Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd is growing +112% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB) generate?
The free cash flow of Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd is −A$3.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd (COB) hold?
Cobalt Blue Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.9M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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