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Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 2, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Coronado Global Resources Inc stock $0.04, price $0.11, that is 61.9% below the price, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials US · Based in Australia · ISIN AU0000026122

CG Coronado Global Resources Inc logo Thin data Nov 6, 2026

Coronado Global Resources Inc

CODQL · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 62% below what the stock costs today.

Moderate debt
Profit last quarter 50% below a year ago.
Fair value $0.0400 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 27/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −17.0 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -33.7% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/8)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1.43 $0.0081 Fair Value $0.0400 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0081 – $1.43 · fair‑value band $0.0400 – $0.0600 · the $0.1050 price screens above the $0.0400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 6, 2026.

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Company profile

Coronado Global Resources Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and exports metallurgical coal in Asia, North America, South America, Europe, and Australia.

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The company owns 100% interests in the Curragh mining property located in the Bowen Basin of Queensland, Australia; and the Buchanan and the Logan properties, as well as development mining properties comprising the Mon Valley and the Russell County properties primarily located in the Central Appalachian region of the United States.

It also owns and controls a portfolio of operating mines and development projects in Queensland, Australia. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia. Coronado Global Resources Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Coronado Group LLC.

Stock analysis

Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL) currently trades at $0.1050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0400, 62% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.0400 (bear) to $0.0600 (bull), the price of $0.1050 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Coronado Global Resources Inc reported revenue of $2.0B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$447M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.1B · P/S ratio 1.05 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0400 · Net margin −22.2% · Return on equity −120% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin −7.5% · Revenue (TTM) $2.0B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −62%, CODQL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0400 Fair Value $0.0400 Bull $0.0600
Price $0.1050 · Downside -61.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 55
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 55

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 1
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 22
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 72
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 0
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 90
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

  • SaleEmma PollardChief P&S Officer39,474 shares at $2.06$81,316Mar 17, 2026
  • SaleJeffrey D BitzerFormer Chief Development Ofcr19,459 shares at $2.44$47,480Mar 12, 2026
  • SaleGarold SpindlerInterim CEO, Director77,700 shares at $2.44$189,588Mar 12, 2026

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.1% (2019) → −17.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CODQL screens overvalued: fair value 62% below the price. Compare with Warrior Met Coal, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 20 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −61.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −15.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −33.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −7.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 9.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.08× · Highest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)50 · sector 62
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)46 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

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10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$2.88 HK$3.68 +28% vs CODQL
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.57 ¥6.12 +10% vs CODQL
Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 ¥2.60 ¥2.64 +2% vs CODQL
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,320 IDR 1,238 IDR −6% vs CODQL
Mongolian Mining Corporation 0975 HK$7.13 HK$5.60 −21% vs CODQL
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.29 ¥2.48 −25% vs CODQL
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.58 ¥2.38 −34% vs CODQL
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $147.93 $92.08 −38% vs CODQL
SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC $9.80 $5.64 −42% vs CODQL
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $84.15 $28.76 −66% vs CODQL

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Coronado Global Resources Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coronado Global Resources Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CODQL

Frequently asked questions

Is Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0400 versus the last price from Nov 2, 2026 of $0.1050, about 62% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CODQL?
Our model-based fair value for Coronado Global Resources Inc is $0.0400 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Nov 2, 2026): $0.1050.
What is the quality score of CODQL?
Coronado Global Resources Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0400 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0400, optimistic scenario $0.0600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coronado Global Resources Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0400, about 62% lower versus the last price from Nov 2, 2026 of $0.1050 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0400, optimistic scenario $0.0600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
Coronado Global Resources Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Coronado Global Resources Inc pay a dividend?
Coronado Global Resources Inc does not currently pay a dividend.
What is the intrinsic value of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coronado Global Resources Inc it is $0.0400 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $0.1050. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Coronado Global Resources Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, CODQL trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.1050, fair value $0.0400, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CODQL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1050); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0400). For Coronado Global Resources Inc the two are $0.0650 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coronado Global Resources Inc worth?
The market values Coronado Global Resources Inc at about $2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $0.1050; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CODQL?
Our models span a range for Coronado Global Resources Inc: cautious scenario $0.0400, base $0.0400, optimistic $0.0600 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $0.1050). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coronado Global Resources Inc (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −120.0%, debt of 1.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CODQL from its 52-week high?
Coronado Global Resources Inc trades at $0.1050, about 70% below its 52-week high of $0.3484 and at the low of $0.1050 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coronado Global Resources Inc?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Warrior Met Coal, Inc, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coronado Global Resources Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $0.1050, calculated fair value $0.0400 (−62%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CODQL calculated?
We run Coronado Global Resources Inc through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.0400 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Coronado Global Resources Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
The latest price we hold is from Nov 2, 2026 and stands at $0.1050. Our model-based fair value is $0.0400, about 62% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coronado Global Resources Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Coronado Global Resources Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
The market capitalisation of Coronado Global Resources Inc is $2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coronado Global Resources Inc is 1.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
Earnings per share at Coronado Global Resources Inc are $−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
The net margin of Coronado Global Resources Inc is −22.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coronado Global Resources Inc is −120% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coronado Global Resources Inc is 15.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
The operating margin of Coronado Global Resources Inc is −7.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
Revenue at Coronado Global Resources Inc is growing +9.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL)?
Earnings per share at Coronado Global Resources Inc are growing −50.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL) generate?
The free cash flow of Coronado Global Resources Inc is −$336M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Coronado Global Resources Inc (CODQL) carry?
The net debt of Coronado Global Resources Inc is $652M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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