Colbún S.A (COLBUN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Colbún S.A CLP 117, price CLP 147, upside -20.7%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Colbún S.A for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 37.38 CLP – 153.06 CLP · fair‑value band 87.20 CLP – 150.45 CLP · the 147.29 CLP price screens above the 116.84 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Colbún in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Colbún is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Colbún S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an electric energy generating company. The company engages in the production, transportation, transformation, distribution, and supply of energy, electricity, and natural gas.
Show more
Colbún S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an electric energy generating company. The company engages in the production, transportation, transformation, distribution, and supply of energy, electricity, and natural gas. It offers renewable energy plants, photovoltaic, reservoir, and run-of-the-river hydroelectric power plants; solar photovoltaic projects; and thermal power plants, as well as energy management system, and electricity supply contract. The company also provides renewable certification, energy supply contract, energy management system, electric power upgrades, photovoltaic self-consumption, energy billing management, sustainable building certifications, electro-charger, online monitoring and control of energy consumption, energy audits, energy storage, heat pumps and air conditioning system, and automobile billing solutions. It serves various sectors, that includes mining; pulp, paper, wood, and cement; industry and manufacturing; agroindustry and food industry; fishery and aquaculture; sanitary; ports and harbours; commerce and retail; telecommunications; education; health; hospitality; warehousing and offices; and real estate and commercial building. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.
Stock analysis
Colbún S.A (COLBUN) currently trades at 147.29 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 116.84 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 26.1% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 175.26 CLP per share, and 5 of the 21 models we run sit above the 147.29 CLP price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 38.95 CLP, and 16 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 87.20 CLP (bear) to 150.45 CLP (bull), the price of 147.29 CLP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Colbún S.A reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was $187M in FY2025, compounding −23.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6T CLP (≈ $2.6B) · P/E ratio 21.4 · P/S ratio 2.51 · EPS (TTM) 6.89 CLP · Net margin 11.7% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% · Operating margin 13.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −21%, COLBUN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 87.20 CLPFair Value 116.84 CLPBull 150.45 CLP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (5.04 CLP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−3.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 22%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 157 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Above median
Fair Value upside−21% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.73× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Colbún S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COLBUN
Frequently asked questions
Is Colbún S.A (COLBUN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 116.84 CLP versus a price of 147.29 CLP, about −21% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COLBUN?
Our model-based fair value for Colbún S.A is 116.84 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 147.29 CLP.
What is the quality score of COLBUN?
Colbún S.A has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 116.84 CLP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 87.20 CLP, optimistic scenario 150.45 CLP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Colbún S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 116.84 CLP, about −21% upside versus a price of 147.29 CLP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 87.20 CLP, optimistic scenario 150.45 CLP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
Colbún S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Colbún S.A it is 116.84 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 147.29 CLP. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Colbún S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, COLBUN trades above its calculated fair value: price 147.29 CLP, fair value 116.84 CLP, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COLBUN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (147.29 CLP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (116.84 CLP). For Colbún S.A the two are 30.45 CLP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Colbún S.A worth?
The market values Colbún S.A at about 2.6T CLP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 147.29 CLP; our models calculate a fair value of 116.84 CLP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COLBUN?
Our models span a range for Colbún S.A: cautious scenario 87.20 CLP, base 116.84 CLP, optimistic 150.45 CLP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 147.29 CLP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COLBUN?
Colbún S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 116.84 CLP is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 0.8, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 9.9.
What is the PEG ratio of COLBUN?
The PEG ratio of Colbún S.A is 1.37 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Colbún S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.73 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COLBUN from its 52-week high?
Colbún S.A trades at 147.29 CLP, about 4% below its 52-week high of 153.06 CLP and 19% above the low of 123.55 CLP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 116.84 CLP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Colbún S.A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Colbún S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 147.29 CLP, calculated fair value 116.84 CLP (−21%), Quality Score 50/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COLBUN calculated?
We run Colbún S.A through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 116.84 CLP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Colbún S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 147.29 CLP. Our model-based fair value is 116.84 CLP, about −21% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Colbún S.A right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Colbún S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
The market capitalisation of Colbún S.A is 2.6T CLP (≈ $2.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Colbún S.A is 2.51 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
Earnings per share at Colbún S.A are 6.89 CLP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
The net margin of Colbún S.A is 11.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Colbún S.A is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Colbún S.A is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
The operating margin of Colbún S.A is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
Revenue at Colbún S.A is growing −1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Colbún S.A (COLBUN)?
Earnings per share at Colbún S.A are growing −69.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Colbún S.A (COLBUN) generate?
The free cash flow of Colbún S.A is $134M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Colbún S.A (COLBUN) carry?
The net debt of Colbún S.A is $2.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 16.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Colbún S.A in the live analysis
One click puts Colbún S.A on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
