Colbún S.A (COLBUN) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CL · Market cap 2.2T CLP
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from 138.29 CLP to 138.89 CLP (+0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +11.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 129.63 CLP (bear) to 175.93 CLP (bull), base 138.89 CLP. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 50/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 37.38 CLP – 153.06 CLP · fair‑value band 129.63 CLP – 175.93 CLP · the 145.00 CLP price screens above the 138.89 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Colbún S.A (COLBUN) currently trades at 145.00 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 138.89 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 4.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Colbún S.A generated revenue of 1.6B CLP at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at 2.2B CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 129.63 CLP (bear case) to 175.93 CLP (bull case); at 145.00 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -4%, COLBUN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (166.67 CLP) versus DCF Models (37.04 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Colbún S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an electric energy generating company. The company engages in the production, transportation, transformation, distribution, and supply of energy, electricity, and natural gas.
Full company description
Colbún S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an electric energy generating company. The company engages in the production, transportation, transformation, distribution, and supply of energy, electricity, and natural gas. It offers renewable energy plants, photovoltaic, reservoir, and run-of-the-river hydroelectric power plants; solar photovoltaic projects; and thermal power plants, as well as energy management system, and electricity supply contract. The company also provides renewable certification, energy supply contract, energy management system, electric power upgrades, photovoltaic self-consumption, energy billing management, sustainable building certifications, electro-charger, online monitoring and control of energy consumption, energy audits, energy storage, heat pumps and air conditioning system, and automobile billing solutions. It serves various sectors, that includes mining; pulp, paper, wood, and cement; industry and manufacturing; agroindustry and food industry; fishery and aquaculture; sanitary; ports and harbours; commerce and retail; telecommunications; education; health; hospitality; warehousing and offices; and real estate and commercial building. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Colbún S.A reported revenue of 1.6B CLP in FY2025 versus 1.4B CLP in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 187M CLP in FY2025, compounding −23.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $88.80 | $32.94 | -63% |
| The Southern Company SO | $95.61 | $61.06 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $126.11 | $97.11 | -23% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,377 ARS | -27% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $132.50 | $79.33 | -40% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $70.08 | $46.92 | -33% |
| NTPC Limited NTPC | ₹341.85 | ₹377.16 | +10% |
| CEZ, a. s. CEZ | 232.40 PLN | 159.33 PLN | -31% |
| Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID | ₹283.55 | ₹252.77 | -11% |
| China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 | ¥8.91 | ¥7.69 | -14% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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