Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · IN · Market cap ₹24.1B (≈ $255M) · ISIN INE552D01024
What is Confidence Petroleum India Limited really worth?
A solid business, but trading 73% above our fair value of ₹47.53.
As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of Confidence Petroleum India Limited is ₹47.53 per share against a price of ₹82.43, so the fair value sits 42% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +0.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹59.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹28.82 – ₹114.46 · fair‑value band ₹33.48 – ₹59.41 · the ₹82.43 price screens above the ₹47.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Confidence Petroleum India Limited (CONFIPET) currently trades at ₹82.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹47.53, implying the stock looks roughly 73.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹185.91 per share, and 11 of the 25 models we run sit above the ₹82.43 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹28.61, and 14 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Confidence Petroleum India Limited generated revenue of ₹60.0B at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 116.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at ₹4.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹33.48 (bear case) to ₹59.41 (bull case); at ₹82.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 205% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −42%, CONFIPET screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹1.76 per share, which is 4.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹185.91) versus Dividend Discount (₹1.71). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Confidence Petroleum India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinders in India. It operates through Cylinder Division and LPG Division segments. The company offers CNG and packed LPG cylinders. It also provides LPG bottling services, as well as operates auto LPG dispensing stations.
Full company description
Confidence Petroleum India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinders in India. It operates through Cylinder Division and LPG Division segments. The company offers CNG and packed LPG cylinders. It also provides LPG bottling services, as well as operates auto LPG dispensing stations. The company serves commercial and industrial customers. It sells its products under the GoGas brand name. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Nagpur, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Confidence Petroleum India Limited reported revenue of ₹47.0B in FY2026 versus ₹14.3B in FY2022, a compound +34.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹929M in FY2026, compounding +1.4%/yr from FY2022.
CONFIPET screens 73% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 109 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,314 | ₹835.66 | −36% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $352.36 | $127.32 | −64% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $368.83 | $133.18 | −64% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $246.58 | $99.41 | −60% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.28 | €3.83 | −88% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 75.80 TWD | 15.32 TWD | −80% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $87.93 | $44.96 | −49% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹315.70 | ₹846.81 | +168% |
| SK Innovation Co 096770 | 131,500 KRW | 53,541 KRW | −59% |
| Sunoco LP, SUN | $75.55 | $53.36 | −29% |
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