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Cosmo First Limited (COSMOFIRST) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹20.8B

CF Cosmo First Limited COSMOFIRST · NSE
Price₹909.00
Fair Value₹960.00
Upside+5.6%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.49% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ₹672.00 – ₹1,248 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +9.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹672.00 to ₹1,248) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,357 ₹400.15 Fair Value ₹960.00 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹400.15 – ₹1,357 · fair‑value band ₹672.00 – ₹1,248 · the ₹909.00 price screens below the ₹960.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Cosmo First Limited (COSMOFIRST) currently trades at ₹909.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹960.00, implying the stock looks roughly 5.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cosmo First Limited generated revenue of ₹36.4B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 36.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. Net debt stands at ₹16.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹672.00 (bear case) to ₹1,248 (bull case); at ₹909.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 6%, COSMOFIRST screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹539.98 ₹598.02 ₹971.85 76
ROIC Compounder ₹306.70 ₹430.16 ₹538.19 72
Gordon GGM ₹36.54 ₹75.97 ₹120.52 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹408.61 ₹1,759 ₹2,404 54
Lynch FV ₹450.91 ₹644.15 ₹837.40 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹450.91 ₹644.15 ₹837.40 46
EPV ₹306.70 ₹430.16 ₹538.19 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹36.54 ₹75.97 ₹120.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹36.54 ₹64.06 ₹79.73 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹766.13 ₹1,022 ₹1,277 63
P/S Multiple ₹766.13 ₹1,022 ₹1,277 58
P/B Multiple ₹766.13 ₹1,022 ₹1,277 55
EV/EBIT ₹562.79 ₹895.07 ₹1,227 53
EV/EBITDA ₹674.13 ₹1,044 ₹1,413 54
EV/Revenue ₹429.88 ₹800.13 ₹1,170 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹311.39 ₹417.26 ₹622.78 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹539.98 ₹598.02 ₹971.85 76
ROIC Compounder ₹306.70 ₹430.16 ₹538.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹672.00 ₹960.00 ₹1,248 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹1,022) versus Dividend Discount (₹64.06). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹36.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.8%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 10.1%
Free cash flow −₹1.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 13.5
More key figures
Operating margin 8.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹59.70
Dividend yield 0.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +36.5%
Net debt ₹16.2B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cosmo First Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of bi-axially oriented polypropylene (BOPP) films in India and Internationally.

Full company description

Cosmo First Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of bi-axially oriented polypropylene (BOPP) films in India and Internationally. The company provides packaging films; lamination films; label films; and industrial films, such as BOPP, BOPET, CPP, PET-G, Direct Thermal Printable Film, and capacitor films, as well as synthetic paper, and rigid sheets and containers to industries, including food, beverage, personal care, and pharmaceuticals. It also offers specialty chemicals; and operates retail and services platform that provides a range of pet care products, such as food, nutritional supplements, hygiene products, accessories, and toys, as well as vet care, grooming, and training services. In addition, the company provides pathology, radiology, pharmacy, surgeries, vaccination, and consultation services for vet care practices. Further, it offers pet spa and pet products through Zigly brand; and sells equipment, and related parts and services. The company was formerly known as Cosmo Films Limited and changed its name to Cosmo First Limited in July 2022. Cosmo First Limited was incorporated in 1976 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Cosmo First Limited reported revenue of ₹36.4B in FY2026 versus ₹30.0B in FY2022, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.6B in FY2026, compounding −20.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 49/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹36.4B
Latest YoY
+25.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY22 ₹30.0B
FY23 ₹30.3B
FY24 ₹25.6B
FY25 ₹29.0B
FY26 ₹36.4B
Net income −20.8%/yr
FY22 ₹4.0B
FY23 ₹2.4B
FY24 ₹622M
FY25 ₹1.3B
FY26 ₹1.6B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +7.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.5 pp

of which total revenue +7.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.3 pp

EBIT margin −2.3 pp
Tax rate −0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cosmo First Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COSMOFIRST

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 37% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.73× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.29× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 41 · sector 10
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 40 · sector 21
HEALTH 63 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 10 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cosmo First Limited (COSMOFIRST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹960.00 versus a price of ₹909.00, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of COSMOFIRST?
Our model-based fair value for Cosmo First Limited is ₹960.00 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹909.00.
What is the quality score of COSMOFIRST?
Cosmo First Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cosmo First Limited (COSMOFIRST)?
Cosmo First Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹36.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of COSMOFIRST?
The net profit margin of Cosmo First Limited is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cosmo First Limited pay a dividend?
Cosmo First Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.49% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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