COVER Corporation (COVCF) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $589M
COVER Corporation
COVCF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +7.2% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($7.32 to $13.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range $7.57 – $21.12 · fair‑value band $7.32 – $13.44 · the $10.40 price screens below the $10.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
COVER Corporation (COVCF) currently trades at $10.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.75, implying the stock looks roughly 3.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, COVER Corporation generated revenue of $49.3B at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 32.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.32 (bear case) to $13.44 (bull case); at $10.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 3%, COVCF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($24.24) versus Asset-Based ($1.10). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
COVER Corporation distribute videos and music through VTubers distribution platform in Japan. It also develops characters and anime-look avatars; plans and produces events; and offers video content, such as live streams, music videos, and animations through video distribution, as well as membership subscriptions, advertising, and promotions services.
Full company description
COVER Corporation distribute videos and music through VTubers distribution platform in Japan. It also develops characters and anime-look avatars; plans and produces events; and offers video content, such as live streams, music videos, and animations through video distribution, as well as membership subscriptions, advertising, and promotions services. In addition, the company is involved in the electronic commerce, VTuber production, and media mix businesses; and development of Metaverse Holoearth, focusing on sandbox games that allow users to act freely in a virtual space. COVER Corporation was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
COVER Corporation reported revenue of $43.4B in FY2025 versus $5.7B in FY2021, a compound +65.9%/yr. Reported net income was $5.6B in FY2025, compounding +46.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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