Cathay Pacific Airways Limited (CPCAY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $9.5B
Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
CPCAY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +7.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $5.82 – $8.66 · fair‑value band $6.20 – $10.88 · the $8.40 price screens below the $8.63 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.
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Cathay Pacific Airways Limited (CPCAY) currently trades at $8.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.63, implying the stock looks roughly 2.7% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cathay Pacific Airways Limited generated revenue of $117B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 14.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.2%. Net debt stands at $50.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.20 (bear case) to $10.88 (bull case); at $8.40, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 3%, CPCAY screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Cathay Pacific Airways Limited, together with its subsidiaries, offers international passenger and air cargo transportation services. The company provides airline operations, including catering, cargo terminal operations, ground handling services, and commercial laundry operations, as well as scheduled services. The company operates in the Chinese Mainland, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, Korea, the Americas, the Southeast Asia and the Oceania, Europe, the South Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. As of 31st December 2025, it operates 237 aircraft and 103 new passenger and freighter aircraft. Cathay Pacific Airways Limited was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Lantau Island, Hong Kong.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cathay Pacific Airways Limited reported revenue of HK$117B in FY2025 versus HK$45.6B in FY2021, a compound +26.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$10.8B in FY2025.
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Recent news
- Cathay Pacific halts restart of Mideast cargo flights as war reignites
- China's Big Three Airlines Trail Cathay by Nearly 50 Percentage Points
- Air Hong Kong leases Airbus A330 cargo jet from US provider
- Air China Cargo tops up order for Airbus A350 freighter aircraft
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryanair Holdings R1YA34 | R$36.55 | R$31.35 | -14% |
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DEAI34 | R$406.00 | R$415.54 | +2% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL1 | €100.00 | €85.45 | -15% |
| International Consolidated Airlines Group ICAGY | $12.26 | $28.04 | +129% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $41.40 | $12.10 | -71% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,021 | ₹3,704 | -26% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited C6L | 6.95 SGD | 9.68 SGD | +39% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $55.73 | $106.79 | +92% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG 1LHA | €9.98 | €15.60 | +56% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥5.22 | ¥3.74 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.