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Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc (CPSS) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $211M

CP Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc logo Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc CPSS · US
Price$9.48
Fair Value$11.58
Upside+22.2%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 10.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range $8.68 – $14.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +3.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.09 $4.07 Fair Value $11.58 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.07 – $15.09 · fair‑value band $8.68 – $14.47 · the $9.48 price screens below the $11.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc (CPSS) currently trades at $9.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.58, implying the stock looks roughly 22.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc generated revenue of $203M at a net margin of 10.0%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at $3.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.68 (bear case) to $14.47 (bull case); at $9.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 22%, CPSS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $5.07 $50.87 80
Residual Income $10.21 $10.20 $9.26 76
Gordon GGM $2.53 $4.24 $5.50 70
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.06 $19.61 $26.18 54
Lynch FV $4.37 $6.24 $8.12 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.53 $4.24 $5.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.53 $3.87 $4.56 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.68 $11.58 $14.47 63
P/B Multiple $11.36 $15.14 $18.93 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.13 $9.56 $14.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $5.07 $50.87 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.21 $10.20 $9.26 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($11.58) versus Dividend Discount ($3.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $203M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%
Net margin 10.0%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow $289M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.5
More key figures
Operating margin 15.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.8500
EPS growth (YoY) +26.3%
Net debt $3.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. operates as a specialty finance company in the United States. It is involved in the purchase and service of retail automobile contracts originated by franchised automobile dealers and select independent dealers in the sale of new and used automobiles, light trucks, and passenger vans.

Full company description

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. operates as a specialty finance company in the United States. It is involved in the purchase and service of retail automobile contracts originated by franchised automobile dealers and select independent dealers in the sale of new and used automobiles, light trucks, and passenger vans. The company, through its automobile contract purchases, offers indirect financing to the customers of dealers with limited credit histories or past credit problems. It also serves as an alternative source of financing for dealers, facilitating sales to customers who are not able to obtain financing from commercial banks, credit unions, and the captive finance companies. In addition, the company acquires installment purchase contracts in merger and acquisition transactions; and purchases immaterial amounts of vehicle purchase money loans from non-affiliated lenders. The company services its automobile contracts through its branches in California, Nevada, Virginia, Florida, and Illinois. Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc reported revenue of $428M in FY2025 versus $268M in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $19.3M in FY2025, compounding −20.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$428M
Latest YoY
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Revenue +12.4%/yr
FY21 $268M
FY22 $330M
FY23 $352M
FY24 $394M
FY25 $428M
Net income −20.1%/yr
FY21 $47.5M
FY22 $86.0M
FY23 $45.3M
FY24 $19.2M
FY25 $19.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.5 pp

of which total revenue +0.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.6 pp

EBIT margin +7.9 pp
Tax rate +2.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −12.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CPSS

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 10.20× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.68× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.04× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 63 · sector 37
FUTURE 40 · sector 39
PAST 26 · sector 32
HEALTH 0 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc (CPSS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.58 versus a price of $9.48, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CPSS?
Our model-based fair value for Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc is $11.58 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.48.
What is the quality score of CPSS?
Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc (CPSS)?
Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $203M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CPSS?
The net profit margin of Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc is about 10.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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