Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Creative Castings Ltd ₹1,005, price ₹618, upside +62.6%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹297.04 – ₹1,048 · fair‑value band ₹581.09 – ₹1,572 · the ₹618.15 price screens below the ₹1,005 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Creative Castings Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of machined and unmachined investment castings in India. It operates through Casting and Wind Turbine Power Generation segments.
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Creative Castings Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of machined and unmachined investment castings in India. It operates through Casting and Wind Turbine Power Generation segments. The company manufactures ferrous castings, including stainless steel of various grades and carbon steel; and non-ferrous castings, including cobalt and nickel base alloy castings. The company's products are used in pumps and valves, defense, oil and refinery, fire control equipment, automobile, medical implants, agricultural machineries, electrical engineering, anti fire equipment, instrumentations, general engineering, power, automobiles, food processing, pharmaceutical, fertilizer, and other industries. It also exports its products to France, Hungary, the United Kingdom, Germany, China, Australia, Israel, Brazil, the United States, and Italy. Creative Castings Limited was founded in 1980 and is based in Junagadh, India.
Stock analysis
Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE) currently trades at ₹618.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,005, implying the stock looks roughly 38.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹1,539 per share, and 15 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹618.15 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹234.86, and 9 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹581.09 (bear) to ₹1,572 (bull), the price of ₹618.15 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Creative Castings Ltd reported revenue of ₹483M in FY2025 versus ₹30.8M in FY2021, a compound +99.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹43.7M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹804M (≈ $8.3M) · P/E ratio 18.4 · P/S ratio 1.67 · EPS (TTM) ₹33.61 · Net margin 9.1% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.6% · Operating margin 15.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at 63%, CREATIVE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹581.09Fair Value ₹1,005Bull ₹1,572
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹25.41 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1,751.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+190.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−12.4% (2020) → 9.8% (2025)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 405 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+25.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.0% · Above median
Return on assets7.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
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Is Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,005 versus a price of ₹618.15, about +63% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CREATIVE?
Our model-based fair value for Creative Castings Ltd is ₹1,005 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹618.15.
What is the quality score of CREATIVE?
Creative Castings Ltd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,005 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹581.09, optimistic scenario ₹1,572. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Creative Castings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,005, about +63% upside versus a price of ₹618.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹581.09, optimistic scenario ₹1,572. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
Creative Castings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹483M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Creative Castings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -0.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +51.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CREATIVE use?
Our models discount Creative Castings Ltd at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Creative Castings Ltd that is -0.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Creative Castings Ltd grew +51.1 % a year. The price currently implies -0.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +15.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Creative Castings Ltd (-0.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.75 %: that much free cash flow Creative Castings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Creative Castings Ltd it is ₹1,005 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹618.15. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Creative Castings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CREATIVE trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹618.15, fair value ₹1,005, a gap of about +63% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CREATIVE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹618.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1,005). For Creative Castings Ltd the two are ₹387.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Creative Castings Ltd worth?
The market values Creative Castings Ltd at about ₹804M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹618.15; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1,005 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CREATIVE?
Our models span a range for Creative Castings Ltd: cautious scenario ₹581.09, base ₹1,005, optimistic ₹1,572 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹618.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CREATIVE?
Creative Castings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹1,005 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Creative Castings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CREATIVE from its 52-week high?
Creative Castings Ltd trades at ₹618.15, about 21% below its 52-week high of ₹777.70 and 24% above the low of ₹500.00 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1,005 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Creative Castings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Creative Castings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹618.15, calculated fair value ₹1,005 (+63%), Quality Score 70/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CREATIVE calculated?
We run Creative Castings Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1,005, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Creative Castings Ltd currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹618.15. Our model-based fair value is ₹1,005, about +63% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Creative Castings Ltd right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The model range is unusually wide (₹581.09 to ₹1,572). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Creative Castings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
The market capitalisation of Creative Castings Ltd is ₹804M (≈ $8.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Creative Castings Ltd is 1.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
Earnings per share at Creative Castings Ltd are ₹33.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
The net margin of Creative Castings Ltd is 9.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Creative Castings Ltd is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Creative Castings Ltd is −2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
The operating margin of Creative Castings Ltd is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
Revenue at Creative Castings Ltd is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +191%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE)?
Earnings per share at Creative Castings Ltd are growing −2.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Creative Castings Ltd (CREATIVE) carry?
The net debt of Creative Castings Ltd is ₹279M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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