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COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.8B

CS COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited logo COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited CSPKF · US
Price$0.6992
Fair Value$1.20
Upside+71.6%
Quality47/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.8700 – $1.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +1.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 72% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.7901 $0.0009 Fair Value $1.20 Jun 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0009 – $0.7901 · fair‑value band $0.8700 – $1.41 · the $0.6992 price screens below the $1.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKF) currently trades at $0.6992, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.20, implying the stock looks roughly 71.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited generated revenue of $1.7B at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at $2.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.8700 (bear case) to $1.41 (bull case); at $0.6992, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at 72%, CSPKF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.9300 $1.65 $2.76 80
Residual Income $1.21 $1.20 $1.11 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4800 $0.8700 $1.36 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.9200 $1.69 $2.89 38
Owner Earnings $0.8800 $1.62 $2.77 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.4800 $0.8700 $1.36 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.8900 $1.67 $2.61 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.8800 $1.64 $2.48 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.6100 $1.01 $1.56 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.8900 $1.58 $2.54 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.8800 $1.56 $2.44 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.5400 $2.07 $2.81 54
Lynch FV $0.5100 $0.7200 $0.9400 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.5100 $0.7200 $0.9400 46
EPV $0.1400 $0.2100 $0.2600 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0500 $0.1100 $0.1600 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0500 $0.0900 $0.1100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.24 $1.66 $2.07 63
P/S Multiple $0.6300 $0.8400 $1.06 58
P/B Multiple $1.01 $1.34 $1.68 55
EV/EBIT $0.4700 $0.7200 $0.9700 53
EV/EBITDA $1.00 $1.42 $1.84 54
EV/Revenue $0.2600 $0.4900 $0.7100 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8100 $1.08 $1.62 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.9300 $1.65 $2.76 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.4800 $0.8700 $1.36 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.21 $1.20 $1.11 76
ROIC Compounder $0.1400 $0.2100 $0.2600 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.9100 $1.31 $1.70 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1.58) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.3%
Net margin 18.4%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow $413M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.6
More key figures
Operating margin 14.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.0800
EPS growth (YoY) -3.1%
Net debt $2.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 31
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited, an investment holding company, manages and operates ports and terminals in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited, an investment holding company, manages and operates ports and terminals in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. The company operates container, container freight stations, iron ore terminals, container terminals, and rail terminals, as well as offers financing, treasury, management, logistics, consultancy, container stevedoring, storage, inspection, and auxiliary services. As of December 31, 2025, it operated and managed 387 berths at 40 ports, of which 238 were for containers, with a total annual handling capacity of approximately 133 million TEU. The company was formerly known as COSCO Pacific Limited and changed its name to COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited in July 2016. COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is a subsidiary of COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was $313M in FY2025, compounding −3.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.7B
Latest YoY
+11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Revenue +8.5%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.5B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.7B
Net income −3.1%/yr
FY21 $355M
FY22 $307M
FY23 $325M
FY24 $309M
FY25 $313M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −2.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.9 pp

of which total revenue +8.5 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.5 pp

EBIT margin −4.2 pp
Tax rate −0.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CSPKF

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +72% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.38× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.43× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.62× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 6.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.31× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 29
FUTURE 52 · sector 18
PAST 21 · sector 27
HEALTH 81 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 46

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation 2609 50.10 TWD 96.14 TWD +92%
The Great Eastern Shipping Company GESHIP ₹1,435 ₹1,854 +29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.20 versus a price of $0.6992, about +72% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CSPKF?
Our model-based fair value for COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is $1.20 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.6992.
What is the quality score of CSPKF?
COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited (CSPKF)?
COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CSPKF?
The net profit margin of COSCO SHIPPING Ports Limited is about 18.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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