Croma Security Solutions Group (CSSG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · GB · Market cap 9.4M GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.8600). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.3847 – £0.8873 · fair‑value band £0.8600 – £1.25 · the £0.6850 price screens below the £1.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Croma Security Solutions Group (CSSG) currently trades at £0.6850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.03, implying the stock looks roughly 50.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Croma Security Solutions Group generated revenue of £10.0M at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £3.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.8600 (bear case) to £1.25 (bull case); at £0.6850, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 50%, CSSG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (£1.03) versus Dividend Discount (£0.2400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Croma Security Solutions Group plc provides security services in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Croma Locksmiths; and Croma Fire and Security segments. The Croma Locksmiths segment supplies, installs, and maintains locks, padlocks, keys, safes, ironmongery, UPVC mechanisms, security shutters, grilles, and doors.
Full company description
Croma Security Solutions Group plc provides security services in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Croma Locksmiths; and Croma Fire and Security segments. The Croma Locksmiths segment supplies, installs, and maintains locks, padlocks, keys, safes, ironmongery, UPVC mechanisms, security shutters, grilles, and doors. The Croma Fire and Security segment designs, supplies, installs, monitors, and maintains intruder alarms systems, CCTV, security, fire and life safety systems, access control systems, perimeter detection systems, barriers, gates, bollards, and automatic doors/shutters. It also offers range of electronic security solutions and services to commercial and individual customers. Croma Security Solutions Group plc was formerly known as Croma Group plc and changed its name to Croma Security Solutions Group plc in March 2012. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Whiteley, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Croma Security Solutions Group reported revenue of £9.6M in FY2025 versus £32.5M in FY2021, a compound −26.2%/yr. Reported net income was £786K in FY2025, compounding −5.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −6.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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