Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc stock £0.89, price £0.88, upside +1.7%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.3932 – £0.9068 · fair‑value band £0.8800 – £0.9400 · the £0.8750 price screens below the £0.8900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Croma Security Solutions Group plc provides security services in the United Kingdom. The company operates through Croma Locksmiths; and Croma Fire and Security segments.
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The Croma Locksmiths segment supplies, installs, and maintains locks, padlocks, keys, safes, ironmongery, UPVC mechanisms, security shutters, grilles, and doors.
The Croma Fire and Security segment designs, supplies, installs, monitors, and maintains intruder alarms systems, CCTV, security, fire and life safety systems, access control systems, perimeter detection systems, barriers, gates, bollards, and automatic doors/shutters.
It also offers range of electronic security solutions and services to commercial and individual customers. Croma Security Solutions Group plc was formerly known as Croma Group plc and changed its name to Croma Security Solutions Group plc in March 2012.
The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Whiteley, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG) currently trades at £0.8750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.8900, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £1.46 per share, and 8 of the 16 models we run sit above the £0.8750 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.3950, and 8 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £0.8800 (bear) to £0.9400 (bull), the price of £0.8750 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Croma Security Solutions Group Plc reported revenue of £9.6M in FY2025 versus £32.5M in FY2021, a compound −26.2%/yr. Reported net income was £786K in FY2025, compounding −5.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap £12.0M Micro · P/E ratio 17.5 · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) £0.0500 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 2%, CSSG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£0.8800Fair Value £0.8900Bull£0.9400
Price £0.8750 · Upside +1.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0260 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.20/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−35.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.8% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−1.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4.5% vs 10.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 105 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Croma Security Solutions Group Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CSSG
Frequently asked questions
Is Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.8900 versus a price of £0.8750, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CSSG?
Our model-based fair value for Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is £0.8900 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.8750.
What is the quality score of CSSG?
Croma Security Solutions Group Plc has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.8900 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.8800, optimistic scenario £0.9400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Croma Security Solutions Group Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.8900, about +2% upside versus a price of £0.8750 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario £0.8800, optimistic scenario £0.9400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
Croma Security Solutions Group Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £10.0M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Croma Security Solutions Group Plc pay a dividend?
Croma Security Solutions Group Plc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.74% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Croma Security Solutions Group Plc pays a dividend of £0.024 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Dec 4, 2025. A dividend has been paid every year since 2017. The payout ratio is 48.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Croma Security Solutions Group Plc it is £0.8900 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of £0.8750. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Croma Security Solutions Group Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, CSSG trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.8750, fair value £0.8900, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CSSG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.8750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.8900). For Croma Security Solutions Group Plc the two are £0.0150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Croma Security Solutions Group Plc worth?
The market values Croma Security Solutions Group Plc at about £12.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is £0.8750; our models calculate a fair value of £0.8900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CSSG?
Our models span a range for Croma Security Solutions Group Plc: cautious scenario £0.8800, base £0.8900, optimistic £0.9400 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price £0.8750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CSSG?
Croma Security Solutions Group Plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.5 (as of Nov 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £0.8900 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 14.5. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 9.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CSSG from its 52-week high?
Croma Security Solutions Group Plc trades at £0.8750, at its 52-week high of £0.8750 and 32% above the low of £0.6650 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.8900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Croma Security Solutions Group Plc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, ADT Inc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Croma Security Solutions Group Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price £0.8750, calculated fair value £0.8900 (+2%), Quality Score 59/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CSSG calculated?
We run Croma Security Solutions Group Plc through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £0.8900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Croma Security Solutions Group Plc currently trades 2% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was £0.8750. Our model-based fair value is £0.8900, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Croma Security Solutions Group Plc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band (£0.8800 to £0.9400), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Where does the earnings growth of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG) come from?
Earnings per share at Croma Security Solutions Group Plc grew +23.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −5.8 %, EBIT margin +13.7 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +16.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
The market capitalisation of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is £12.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is 1.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
Earnings per share at Croma Security Solutions Group Plc are £0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
The dividend yield of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is 2.7% (payout 48.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
The net margin of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is 6.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
The operating margin of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
Revenue at Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is growing +9.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −35.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG)?
Earnings per share at Croma Security Solutions Group Plc are growing −40.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG) generate?
The free cash flow of Croma Security Solutions Group Plc is −£656K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Croma Security Solutions Group Plc (CSSG) hold?
Croma Security Solutions Group Plc holds more cash than debt, £3.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 4, 2026