Centaurus Energy Inc (CTA) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · CA · Market cap C$2.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −36.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 26% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.8400 – C$15.00 · fair‑value band C$1.19 – C$1.98 · the C$1.25 price screens below the C$1.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Centaurus Energy Inc (CTA) currently trades at C$1.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.58, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Centaurus Energy Inc generated revenue of C$854K at a net margin of -2.3%. Revenue grew 37.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.3%. Net debt stands at C$4.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$1.19 (bear case) to C$1.98 (bull case); at C$1.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 26%, CTA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (C$4.02) versus Earnings-Based (C$0.9400). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Centaurus Energy Inc. does not have significant operations. Previously, it was engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in Argentina. The company was formerly known as Madalena Energy Inc. and changed its name to Centaurus Energy Inc. in September 2019. Centaurus Energy Inc.
Full company description
Centaurus Energy Inc. does not have significant operations. Previously, it was engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in Argentina. The company was formerly known as Madalena Energy Inc. and changed its name to Centaurus Energy Inc. in September 2019. Centaurus Energy Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Calgary, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Centaurus Energy Inc reported revenue of C$10.0K in FY2025 versus C$23.0M in FY2021, a compound −85.6%/yr. Reported net income was C$125K in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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