Canadian Tire Corporation (CTC-A) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$10.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from C$173.68 to C$183.55 (+5.7%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +5.8% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range C$154.82 – C$199.12 · fair‑value band C$105.06 – C$321.93 · the C$196.97 price screens above the C$183.55 fair value. As of Jul 20, 2026.
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Canadian Tire Corporation (CTC-A) currently trades at C$196.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$183.55, implying the stock looks roughly 6.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Canadian Tire Corporation generated revenue of C$16.4B at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at C$9.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$105.06 (bear case) to C$321.93 (bull case); at C$196.97, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -7%, CTC-A screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited provides a range of retail goods and services in Canada. It operates through three segments: Retail, CT REIT, and Financial Services. The Retail segment retails automotive maintenance products and accessories, parts, and tires, as well as automotive services comprising oil changes, tire installations, and repairs; roadside assistance; electrical, hardware, paint, plumbing, and tool products; cleaning, food and drink, home décor, home essentials, home organization, home environment, kitchen, and pet care products; camping, exercise, hockey, hunting, fishing, seasonal recreation, and team sports and golf products; and backyard living, backyard fun, cycling, gardening, outdoor tools, seasonal, and toy products. This segment offers its products under the Canadian Tire, Canadian Tire Gas+, Pro Hockey Life, Mark's, PartSource, Helly Hansen, Party City, and SportChek brand names. This segment also participates in loyalty programs, as well as sells its …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Canadian Tire Corporation reported revenue of C$16.3B in FY2025 versus C$16.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$579M in FY2025, compounding −15.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- CIRI Announces 2026 Annual General Meeting Voting Results
- Cizzle Brands Corporation Announces the Launch of CWENCH Hydration™ at Canadian Tire Gas+
- Leyad Acquires Intercity Shopping Centre in Thunder Bay
- Canadian Tire Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$83.43 | C$63.81 | -24% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $859.10 | $295.13 | -66% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $204.98 | $115.47 | -44% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $465.06 | $647.05 | +39% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $214.97 | $283.60 | +32% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $76.01 | $94.27 | +24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $30.77 | $27.76 | -10% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥56.79 | ¥48.19 | -15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $551.32 | $329.02 | -40% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $195.85 | $148.51 | -24% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.