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Cotec Construction JSC (CTD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Cotec Construction JSC VND 72,443, price VND 58,500, upside +23.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · VN · ISIN VN000000CTD4

CC Some data Sep 24, 2026

Cotec Construction JSC

CTD · VN

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value 72,443 VND · Undervalued (+24%)
!Quality 36/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.55% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

92,780 VND 16,691 VND Fair Value 72,443 VND Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 16,691 VND – 92,780 VND · fair‑value band 54,332 VND – 90,553 VND · the 58,500 VND price screens below the 72,443 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Coteccons Construction Joint Stock Company operates as a construction company. It engages in the construction of various homes, railway and road works, public works, and other civil engineering works; and demolition activities.

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Coteccons Construction Joint Stock Company operates as a construction company. It engages in the construction of various homes, railway and road works, public works, and other civil engineering works; and demolition activities. The company is also involved in the preparation of sites; installation of electricity systems, water supply and drainage systems, heating systems, and air conditioners; and fitting of construction works, as well as in other specialized construction activities. In addition, it manufactures concrete, as well as products from cement and gypsum. Further, the company is involved in the repair, installation, rental, and sale of machinery, equipment, and components; trading of construction materials and other installation equipment in construction; and provision of real estate brokerage and business services, as well as commission services. Additionally, it provides architecture and relevant technical advisory services; and engages in support activities for financial advisory, as well as in specialised design activities. In addition, the company is involved in software production and computer programming activities; and construction and asset holding operations, as well as in the amusement parks and theme parks activities. Coteccons Construction Joint Stock Company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Cotec Construction JSC (CTD) currently trades at 58,500 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 72,443 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 19.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 115,025 VND per share, and 11 of the 15 models we run sit above the 58,500 VND price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 56,343 VND, and 4 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 54,332 VND (bear) to 90,553 VND (bull), the price of 58,500 VND sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Cotec Construction JSC reported revenue of 24.9T VND in FY2024 versus 14.6T VND in FY2020, a compound +14.3%/yr. Reported net income was 454B VND in FY2024, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap 6.9T VND · P/E ratio 7.6 · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) 7,734 VND · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 24%, CTD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 54,332 VND Fair Value 72,443 VND Bull 90,553 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (6,827 VND per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 48,885 VND 70,347 VND 106,981 VND 76
Residual Income 58,013 VND 56,343 VND 47,303 VND 76
EPV 54,720 VND 58,234 VND 61,085 VND 74
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 48,885 VND 70,347 VND 106,981 VND 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 28,977 VND 193,998 VND 271,770 VND 63
Lynch FV 56,765 VND 81,093 VND 105,421 VND 61
PEG = 1.0 56,765 VND 81,093 VND 105,421 VND 57
EPV 54,720 VND 58,234 VND 61,085 VND 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 70,312 VND 93,749 VND 117,187 VND 63
P/S Multiple 54,332 VND 72,443 VND 90,553 VND 58
P/B Multiple 54,332 VND 72,443 VND 90,553 VND 55
EV/EBIT 86,928 VND 107,423 VND 127,919 VND 66
EV/EBITDA 76,040 VND 92,907 VND 109,773 VND 67
EV/Revenue 66,888 VND 84,650 VND 102,413 VND 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 42,076 VND 56,381 VND 84,151 VND 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 58,013 VND 56,343 VND 47,303 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 54,720 VND 58,234 VND 61,085 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 80,517 VND 115,025 VND 149,532 VND 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ −0.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 2%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2024 sits 1,297% above its own trend.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 836 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +24% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.77× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)65 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 11
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)31 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $642.63 $163.08 −75%
Vinci SA DG €112.30 €185.62 +65%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,625 $1,122 −31%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,930 ₹1,994 −49%
Ferrovial N.V FER $56.30 $24.01 −57%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 256,792 KRW −30%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €403.60 €203.87 −49%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.95 €75.04 −22%
EMCOR Group EME $756.50 $521.87 −31%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $221.69 $106.05 −52%

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Cotec Construction JSC · Fair Value
72,443 VND +19%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cotec Construction JSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTD

Frequently asked questions

Is Cotec Construction JSC (CTD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 72,443 VND versus a price of 58,500 VND, about +24% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CTD?
Our model-based fair value for Cotec Construction JSC is 72,443 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 58,500 VND.
What is the quality score of CTD?
Cotec Construction JSC has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 72,443 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 54,332 VND, optimistic scenario 90,553 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cotec Construction JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 72,443 VND, about +24% upside versus a price of 58,500 VND (undervalued). Cautious scenario 54,332 VND, optimistic scenario 90,553 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
Cotec Construction JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.1T VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Cotec Construction JSC pay a dividend?
Cotec Construction JSC currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cotec Construction JSC it is 72,443 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 58,500 VND. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cotec Construction JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CTD trades below its calculated fair value: price 58,500 VND, fair value 72,443 VND, a gap of about +24% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (58,500 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (72,443 VND). For Cotec Construction JSC the two are 13,943 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cotec Construction JSC worth?
The market values Cotec Construction JSC at about 6.9T VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 58,500 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 72,443 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTD?
Our models span a range for Cotec Construction JSC: cautious scenario 54,332 VND, base 72,443 VND, optimistic 90,553 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 58,500 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CTD?
Cotec Construction JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 72,443 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 4.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cotec Construction JSC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTD from its 52-week high?
Cotec Construction JSC trades at 58,500 VND, about 37% below its 52-week high of 92,780 VND and 6% above the low of 55,100 VND (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 72,443 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cotec Construction JSC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cotec Construction JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 58,500 VND, calculated fair value 72,443 VND (+24%), Quality Score 36/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTD calculated?
We run Cotec Construction JSC through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 72,443 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cotec Construction JSC currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 58,500 VND. Our model-based fair value is 72,443 VND, about +24% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cotec Construction JSC right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Cotec Construction JSC

How large is the market capitalisation of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
The market capitalisation of Cotec Construction JSC is 6.9T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cotec Construction JSC is 0.14 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
Earnings per share at Cotec Construction JSC are 7,734 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
The dividend yield of Cotec Construction JSC is 1.6% (payout 11.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
The net margin of Cotec Construction JSC is 1.8% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cotec Construction JSC is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cotec Construction JSC is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
The operating margin of Cotec Construction JSC is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
Revenue at Cotec Construction JSC is growing +28.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +39.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cotec Construction JSC (CTD)?
Earnings per share at Cotec Construction JSC are growing +116% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cotec Construction JSC (CTD) generate?
The free cash flow of Cotec Construction JSC is −1.6T VND (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cotec Construction JSC (CTD) carry?
The net debt of Cotec Construction JSC is 275B VND (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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