Contango Silver & Gold Inc (CTGO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $522M
Contango Silver & Gold Inc
CTGO · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Share price +23.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($13.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.00 – $33.10 · fair‑value band $7.37 – $13.01 · the $19.46 price screens above the $9.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Contango Silver & Gold Inc (CTGO) currently trades at $19.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.85, implying the stock looks roughly 49.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
It earns a return on equity of -18.5%. Net debt stands at $48.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.37 (bear case) to $13.01 (bull case); at $19.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -49%, CTGO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($11.59) versus Asset-Based ($0.5500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Contango Silver & Gold Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and associated minerals in Alaska and the Golden Triangle in British Columbia. It primarily focuses on exploring for gold and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Contango Ore, Inc. and changed its name to Contango Silver & Gold Inc. in March 2026.
Full company description
Contango Silver & Gold Inc. engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and associated minerals in Alaska and the Golden Triangle in British Columbia. It primarily focuses on exploring for gold and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Contango Ore, Inc. and changed its name to Contango Silver & Gold Inc. in March 2026. Contango Silver & Gold Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Fairbanks, Alaska.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Contango Silver & Gold Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$36.1M in FY2025.
CTGO screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Contango settles Lucky Shot milestone payments, gains $9M from Peak Gold JV
- Here’s Why Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO) Is One Of The Most Undervalued Silver Mining Stocks To Buy Now
- Why Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO) Could Have Momentum Building
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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