Karsten S.A (CTKA3) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$273M
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from R$152.94 to R$112.90 (−26.2%) since Jul 19, 2026.
A solid business, screening 157% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$63.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (R$63.98 to R$207.88). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$13.00 – R$50.00 · fair‑value band R$63.98 – R$207.88 · the R$44.00 price screens below the R$112.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Karsten S.A (CTKA3) currently trades at R$44.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$112.90, implying the stock looks roughly 156.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Karsten S.A generated revenue of R$763M at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 2.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 124.8%. Net debt stands at R$404M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$63.98 (bear case) to R$207.88 (bull case); at R$44.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 157%, CTKA3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$181.93) versus Asset-Based (R$8.21). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Karsten S.A. manufactures and sells home textiles lines and decor products in Brazil. It offers bed, table, bath, infant, and other decor products. The company provides house and decoration products, such as home fragrances, picture frame, decorative pillows and cushions, mats, organizer and clothes basket, and kitchen and bathroom accessories.
Full company description
Karsten S.A. manufactures and sells home textiles lines and decor products in Brazil. It offers bed, table, bath, infant, and other decor products. The company provides house and decoration products, such as home fragrances, picture frame, decorative pillows and cushions, mats, organizer and clothes basket, and kitchen and bathroom accessories. It also sells its products online. The company was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Blumenau, Brazil. Karsten S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Kasavii Participações S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Karsten S.A reported revenue of R$758M in FY2025 versus R$550M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$70.5M in FY2025, compounding +5.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 319 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$42.10 | HK$68.24 | +62% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥22.67 | ¥14.53 | -36% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.79 | ¥14.35 | +12% |
| Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 | 27.55 TWD | 25.64 TWD | -7% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,089 | ₹467.49 | -57% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥71.55 | ¥11.85 | -83% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹591.90 | ₹437.53 | -26% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 324.31 TRY | +86% |
| Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 | 54.10 TWD | 133.24 TWD | +146% |
| Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV | ₹165.23 | ₹47.77 | -71% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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