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CTW Cayman Class A (CTW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CTW Cayman Class A stock $0.33, price $1.79, upside -81.6%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value 30%+ above price?No
  2. Quality 50+?No
  3. In an uptrend?No
  4. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Communication Services US · Based in Japan · ISIN KYG2589A1058

CC CTW Cayman Class A logo Thin data Oct 28, 2026

CTW Cayman Class A

CTW · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 82% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +9.4 %/yr in USD)
Fair value $0.3300 · Strongly overvalued (−81.6%)
Quality 36/100
Loss-making · -5.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 15/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$4.44 $1.21 Fair Value $0.3300 Aug 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

15‑month range $1.21 – $4.44 · fair‑value band $0.2400 – $0.4900 · the $1.79 price screens above the $0.3300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.

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Company profile

CTW operates a web-based gaming platform in Japan and Singapore. The company offers an immersive digital space through its flagship HTML5 platform, G123.jp, which provides a selection of free-to-play games inspired by Japanese animations.

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It also engages in the provision of removing barriers to gameplay, including downloads, installations, and mandatory registrations through different types of devices comprising mobile devices and PCs. In addition, the company offers support to game developers, such as game distribution support, localization and translation of in-game content, and IP related design support; sound effects, music, and interface elements; game distribution services consisting of hosting games on its platform and distributing games through its network and server resources, and related software and systems.

Further, it provides marketing services and customer support. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. CTW operates as a subsidiary of CTW (BVI) LTD.

Stock analysis

CTW Cayman Class A (CTW) currently trades at $1.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3300, 81.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $0.2400 (bear) to $0.4900 (bull), the price of $1.79 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $82.5M in FY2026 versus $8.2B in FY2020, a compound −53.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.1M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $112M Micro · P/E ratio 63.0 · P/S ratio 1.29 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0700 · Net margin −5.0% · Return on equity −13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% · Operating margin −13.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 53% fair-value upside, at −82%, CTW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2400 Fair Value $0.3300 Bull $0.4900
Price $1.79 · Upside -81.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) $0.2400 $0.3300 $0.4900 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2400 $0.3300 $0.4900 50

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 40
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 7
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 96
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 39
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 13
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 18
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 20
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
35.4% (2020) → −8.9% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CTW screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with NetEase, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 139 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −5.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −13.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −15.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 63.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.28× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.35× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥11.31 ¥27.63 +144% vs CTW
37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 ¥16.59 ¥38.45 +132% vs CTW
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 183,200 KRW 410,472 KRW +124% vs CTW
NetEase, Inc NTES $118.32 $255.77 +116% vs CTW
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥20.88 ¥31.97 +53% vs CTW
Kingnet Network Co 002517 ¥15.14 ¥21.86 +44% vs CTW
International Games System Co 3293 796.00 TWD 1,094 TWD +37% vs CTW
CD Projekt S.A CDR 268.00 PLN 275.58 PLN +3% vs CTW
Roblox Corporation RBLX $54.47 $45.33 −17% vs CTW
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $201.28 $75.06 −63% vs CTW

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CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares · Fair Value
$0.3300 −82%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTW.US

Frequently asked questions

Is CTW Cayman Class A (CTW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3300 versus a price of $1.79, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CTW?
Our model-based fair value for CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is $0.3300 (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.79.
What is the quality score of CTW?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.3300 (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $0.4900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.3300, about −82% upside versus a price of $1.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2400, optimistic scenario $0.4900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $82.5M (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares it is $0.3300 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of $1.79. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, CTW trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.79, fair value $0.3300, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CTW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.3300). For CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares the two are $1.46 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares at about $112M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is $1.79; our models calculate a fair value of $0.3300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CTW?
Our models span a range for CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.2400, base $0.3300, optimistic $0.4900 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price $1.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CTW?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 63.0 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.3300 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 1.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Balance-sheet figures for CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity −13.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CTW from its 52-week high?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares trades at $1.79, about 41% below its 52-week high of $3.01 and 48% above the low of $1.21 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.3300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value NetEase, Inc, Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Roblox Corporation, Zhejiang Century Huatong Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price $1.79, calculated fair value $0.3300 (−82%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CTW calculated?
We run CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.3300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was $1.79. Our model-based fair value is $0.3300, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.2400 to $0.4900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares

How large is the market capitalisation of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The market capitalisation of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is $112M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is 1.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Earnings per share at CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares are $−0.0700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 63.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The net margin of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is −5.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is −13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
The operating margin of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is −13.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CTW Cayman Class A (CTW)?
Revenue at CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is growing −15.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does CTW Cayman Class A (CTW) generate?
The free cash flow of CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares is −$7.8M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does CTW Cayman Class A (CTW) hold?
CTW Cayman Class A Ordinary Shares holds more cash than debt, $5.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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