Consolidated Water Co (CWCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $478M
Consolidated Water Co
CWCO · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $22.39 to $20.63 (−7.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($25.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.54 – $38.27 · fair‑value band $15.47 – $25.79 · the $30.49 price screens above the $20.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Consolidated Water Co (CWCO) currently trades at $30.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.63, implying the stock looks roughly 32.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Consolidated Water Co generated revenue of $128M at a net margin of 13.5%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $121M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.47 (bear case) to $25.79 (bull case); at $30.49, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -32%, CWCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($30.39) versus Dividend Discount ($6.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, supplies potable water, treats wastewater and water for reuse, and provides water-related products and services in the Cayman Islands, the Bahamas, the United States, and the British Virgin Islands. It operates through Retail, Bulk, Services, and Manufacturing segments.
Full company description
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, supplies potable water, treats wastewater and water for reuse, and provides water-related products and services in the Cayman Islands, the Bahamas, the United States, and the British Virgin Islands. It operates through Retail, Bulk, Services, and Manufacturing segments. The company produces potable water from seawater utilizing reverse osmosis technology and supplies water to end-users, including residential, commercial, and government customers, as well as government-owned utilities. It is also involved in design, construction, and sale of water production and treatment plants, as well as management and operation of water production plants, and treatment and reuse infrastructure for third parties; provision of water related consulting services; and production and supply of bulk water. In addition, the company manufactures and services a range of specialized and custom water-related products and systems applicable to commercial, municipal, and industrial water production, supply, and treatment; reverse osmosis desalination, membrane separation, and filtration equipment; and piping systems, vessels, and custom-fabricated components. Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Consolidated Water Co reported revenue of $132M in FY2025 versus $66.9M in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was $18.3M in FY2025, compounding +113.9%/yr from FY2021.
CWCO screens 32% overvalued. Compare with American Water Works Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Consolidated Water Receives Limited Notice to Proceed on Hawaii Project and Awarded Record $10.1 Million Municipal Water Treatment Equipment
- Consolidated Water (CWCO) Ascends While Market Falls: Some Facts to Note
- Here's Why Consolidated Water (CWCO) Fell More Than Broader Market
- Cash Dividend On The Way From Consolidated Water (CWCO)
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Water · 67 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| American Water Works Company AWK | $134.33 | $65.80 | -51% |
| SBSP3 SBSP3 | R$29.22 | R$31.23 | +7% |
| SBS SBS | $5.79 | $5.21 | -10% |
| Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG | $38.59 | $21.81 | -43% |
| CSMG3 CSMG3 | R$66.10 | R$60.17 | -9% |
| Grandblue Environment Co 600323 | ¥29.42 | ¥33.29 | +13% |
| American States Water Company AWR | $85.01 | $48.02 | -44% |
| Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 | ¥6.97 | ¥10.74 | +54% |
| California Water Service Group CWT | $49.73 | $33.56 | -33% |
| Chongqing Water Group 601158 | ¥4.12 | ¥2.77 | -33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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