Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Consolidated Water Co Ltd stock $30.13, price $27.22, upside +10.7%, quality 68 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.46 – $37.90 · fair‑value band $23.48 – $36.12 · the $27.22 price screens below the $30.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Consolidated Water Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, supplies potable water, treats wastewater and water for reuse, and provides water-related products and services in the Cayman Islands, the Bahamas, the United States, and the British Virgin Islands.
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It operates through Retail, Bulk, Services, and Manufacturing segments. The company produces potable water from seawater utilizing reverse osmosis technology and supplies water to end-users, including residential, commercial, and government customers, as well as government-owned utilities.
It is also involved in design, construction, and sale of water production and treatment plants, as well as management and operation of water production plants, and treatment and reuse infrastructure for third parties; provision of water related consulting services; and production and supply of bulk water.
In addition, the company manufactures and services a range of specialized and custom water-related products and systems applicable to commercial, municipal, and industrial water production, supply, and treatment; reverse osmosis desalination, membrane separation, and filtration equipment; and piping systems, vessels, and custom-fabricated components.
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. was incorporated in 1973 and is headquartered in Grand Cayman, the Cayman Islands.
Stock analysis
Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO) currently trades at $27.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.13, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $36.70 per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the $27.22 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.73, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $23.48 (bear) to $36.12 (bull), the price of $27.22 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Consolidated Water Co Ltd reported revenue of $132M in FY2025 versus $66.9M in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was $18.3M in FY2025, compounding +113.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $438M Small · P/E ratio 26.7 · P/S ratio 3.44 · EPS (TTM) $1.02 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 12.7% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at 11%, CWCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$23.48Fair Value $30.13Bull$36.12
Price $27.22 · Upside +10.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3932 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $86,538 and none bought.
SaleRaymond WhittakerDirector1,000 shares at $28.93$28,930Sep 3, 2026
SaleClarence B. FlowersDirector2× since Nov 17, 2025: 3,505 shares, avg. $32.16$112,708Aug 17, 2026
BuyMaria Elena GinerDirector3,310 shares at $30.24$100,100Mar 19, 2026
SaleWilmer F. PergandeDirector5,352 shares at $33.80$180,893Dec 3, 2025
SaleFrederick W. McTaggartPRESIDENT AND CEO, Director2× since Nov 17, 2025: 25,000 shares, avg. $33.67$841,676Nov 24, 2025
BuyKimberly Anne AdamsonDirector2,619 shares at $33.82$88,575Nov 21, 2025
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.7% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+17.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+15.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.36.3% vs 10.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 14%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.9% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (92 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare Consolidated Water Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Water · 64 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.5% · Below median
Return on assets7.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)12.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)11.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−2.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.1% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)26.7× · Pricier than median
P/B1.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)3.44× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)13.2× · Cheaper than median
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Consolidated Water Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CWCO
Frequently asked questions
Is Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.13 versus a price of $27.22, about +11% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CWCO?
Our model-based fair value for Consolidated Water Co Ltd is $30.13 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $27.22.
What is the quality score of CWCO?
Consolidated Water Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $30.13 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $23.48, optimistic scenario $36.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Consolidated Water Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $30.13, about +11% upside versus a price of $27.22 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $23.48, optimistic scenario $36.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
Consolidated Water Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $128M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Consolidated Water Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Consolidated Water Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 2.06% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Consolidated Water Co Ltd pays a dividend of $0.56 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Oct 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1996. The payout ratio is 54.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.70 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Consolidated Water Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -3.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.7 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CWCO use?
Our models discount Consolidated Water Co Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Consolidated Water Co Ltd that is -3.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Consolidated Water Co Ltd grew +12.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -3.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Consolidated Water Co Ltd (-3.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.57 %: that much free cash flow Consolidated Water Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Consolidated Water Co Ltd it is $30.13 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $27.22. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Consolidated Water Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, CWCO trades below its calculated fair value: price $27.22, fair value $30.13, a gap of about +11% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CWCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($27.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($30.13). For Consolidated Water Co Ltd the two are $2.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Consolidated Water Co Ltd worth?
The market values Consolidated Water Co Ltd at about $438M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $27.22; our models calculate a fair value of $30.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CWCO?
Our models span a range for Consolidated Water Co Ltd: cautious scenario $23.48, base $30.13, optimistic $36.12 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $27.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CWCO?
Consolidated Water Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.7 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $30.13 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 30.6. Other multiples: PEG 2.2, P/B 2.0, P/S 3.4, EV/EBITDA 13.9.
What is the PEG ratio of CWCO?
The PEG ratio of Consolidated Water Co Ltd is 2.24 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Consolidated Water Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 7.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CWCO from its 52-week high?
Consolidated Water Co Ltd trades at $27.22, about 28% below its 52-week high of $37.90 and 3% above the low of $26.54 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $30.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Consolidated Water Co Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value American Water Works Company, Essential Utilities, Inc, Grandblue Environment Co, American States Water Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Consolidated Water Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $27.22, calculated fair value $30.13 (+11%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CWCO calculated?
We run Consolidated Water Co Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $30.13 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Consolidated Water Co Ltd currently trades 10% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $27.22. Our model-based fair value is $30.13, about +11% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Consolidated Water Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Consolidated Water Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
The market capitalisation of Consolidated Water Co Ltd is $438M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Consolidated Water Co Ltd is 3.44 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
Earnings per share at Consolidated Water Co Ltd are $1.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
The dividend yield of Consolidated Water Co Ltd is 2.1% (payout 54.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
The net margin of Consolidated Water Co Ltd is 12.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Consolidated Water Co Ltd is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Consolidated Water Co Ltd is 7.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
The operating margin of Consolidated Water Co Ltd is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
Revenue at Consolidated Water Co Ltd is growing −2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO)?
Earnings per share at Consolidated Water Co Ltd are growing −22.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO) hold?
Consolidated Water Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, $121M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026