China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.8B
China Yuchai International Limited
CYD · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $43.10 to $43.22 (+0.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $32.41 (bear) to $54.02 (bull), base $43.22. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.39 – $59.71 · fair‑value band $32.41 – $54.02 · the $47.32 price screens above the $43.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) currently trades at $47.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $43.22, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Yuchai International Limited generated revenue of $24.7B at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 23.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $32.41 (bear case) to $54.02 (bull case); at $47.32, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 128% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -9%, CYD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($710.56) versus Dividend Discount ($48.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses, pickups, construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. It operates through two segments: Yuchai and HLGE. The Yuchai segment manufactures on- and off-road powertrain solutions and applications.
Full company description
China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses, pickups, construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. It operates through two segments: Yuchai and HLGE. The Yuchai segment manufactures on- and off-road powertrain solutions and applications. The HLGE is engaged in hospitality and property development activities. The company provides diesel engines comprising 4- and 6-cylinder diesel engines, high-horsepower marine and power generator engines; natural gas engines, hydrogen combustion engines, methanol combustion engines, diesel power generators, power generator sets, engine components and parts, diesel engine parts, and remanufacturing services; as well as plug in hybrid engines, range extenders, power generation powertrains, hybrid powertrains, electric drive axle powertrain, and fuel cell systems. It also offers repair, maintenance, training and skills-enhancement training. It distributes its engines directly to auto original equipment manufacturers, agents, and retailers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company was founded in 1951 and is based in Singapore.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Yuchai International Limited reported revenue of $24.0B in FY2025 versus $21.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was $523M in FY2025, compounding +17.7%/yr from FY2021.
Watch CYD: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- CYD vs. HSAI: Which Stock Should Value Investors Buy Now?
- Are Auto-Tires-Trucks Stocks Lagging China Yuchai International (CYD) This Year?
- CYD or MBLY: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $179.76 | $224.63 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$80.55 | HK$50.85 | -37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 425,000 KRW | 616,918 KRW | +45% |
| General Motors Company GM | $77.72 | $56.93 | -27% |
| Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N | 1,909 MXN | 2,944 MXN | +54% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | $376.64 | $228.05 | -39% |
| Ford Motor Company F | C$11.86 | C$4.00 | -66% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group BENZ | C$20.44 | C$35.15 | +72% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | 2,149 CZK | 7,191 CZK | +235% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹13,803 | ₹8,236 | -40% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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