Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Cargotec Corporation $26.98, price $36.30, upside -25.7%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.95 – $36.95 · fair‑value band $21.05 – $35.07 · the $36.30 price screens above the $26.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Hiab Oyj provides smart and on road load-handling solutions and services in Finland.
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Hiab Oyj provides smart and on road load-handling solutions and services in Finland. The company provides loader cranes under HIAB, EFFER, and ARGOS brands; truck-mounted forklifts under MOFFETT and PRINCETON brands; forestry cranes under LOGLIFT brand; recycling cranes under JONSERED brand; demountable and hooklifts under MULTILIFT brand; roll-off cable hoists under GALFAB brand; tail lifts under ZEPRO, DEL, and WALTCO brands. It also offers maintenance, equipment warranty, and spare parts. The company serves waste and recycling, defense logistics, retail and final mile, and construction industries. The company was formerly known as Cargotec Corporation and changed its name to Hiab Oyj in March 2025. Hiab Oyj was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland.
Stock analysis
Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY) currently trades at $36.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.98, 25.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $32.13 per share, and 2 of the 22 models we run sit above the $36.30 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.92, and 20 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $21.05 (bear) to $35.07 (bull), the price of $36.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Cargotec Corporation reported revenue of €1.6B in FY2025 versus €3.3B in FY2021, a compound −17.2%/yr. Reported net income was €164M in FY2025, compounding −9.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.4B · P/E ratio 21.9 · P/S ratio 2.31 · EPS (TTM) $1.21 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 10.5% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −26%, CYJBY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $21.05Fair Value $26.98Bull $35.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0302 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.5%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.8%
’13
’14
’15
’16
’17
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’21
’22
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 13%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+19.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.9% a year for the price and +16.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 145 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−17.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.6% · Above median
Return on assets5.4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9.2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cargotec Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CYJBY
Frequently asked questions
Is Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $26.98 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $36.30, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CYJBY?
Our model-based fair value for Cargotec Corporation is $26.98 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $36.30.
What is the quality score of CYJBY?
Cargotec Corporation has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $26.98 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $21.05, optimistic scenario $35.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cargotec Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $26.98, about −26% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $36.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $21.05, optimistic scenario $35.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
Cargotec Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Cargotec Corporation pay a dividend?
Cargotec Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.22% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cargotec Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +3.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 7 years revenue grew -10.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CYJBY use?
Our models discount Cargotec Corporation at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.24, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cargotec Corporation that is +3.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY) delivered so far?
Over the past 7 years revenue at Cargotec Corporation grew -10.2 % a year. The price currently implies +3.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cargotec Corporation (+3.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.27 %: that much free cash flow Cargotec Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cargotec Corporation it is $26.98 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $36.30. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cargotec Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, CYJBY trades above its calculated fair value: price $36.30, fair value $26.98, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CYJBY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($36.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($26.98). For Cargotec Corporation the two are $9.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cargotec Corporation worth?
The market values Cargotec Corporation at about $3.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $36.30; our models calculate a fair value of $26.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CYJBY?
Our models span a range for Cargotec Corporation: cautious scenario $21.05, base $26.98, optimistic $35.07 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $36.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CYJBY?
Cargotec Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $26.98 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cargotec Corporation (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CYJBY from its 52-week high?
Cargotec Corporation trades at $36.30, at its 52-week high of $36.30 and 53% above the low of $23.70 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $26.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cargotec Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cargotec Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $36.30, calculated fair value $26.98 (−26%), Quality Score 72/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CYJBY calculated?
We run Cargotec Corporation through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $26.98, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Cargotec Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $36.30. Our model-based fair value is $26.98, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cargotec Corporation right now?
A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($35.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Key figures of Cargotec Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
The market capitalisation of Cargotec Corporation is $3.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cargotec Corporation is 2.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
Earnings per share at Cargotec Corporation are $1.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
The dividend yield of Cargotec Corporation is 3.2% (payout 96.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
The net margin of Cargotec Corporation is 10.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cargotec Corporation is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cargotec Corporation is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
The operating margin of Cargotec Corporation is 10.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
Revenue at Cargotec Corporation is growing −7.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −27.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY)?
Earnings per share at Cargotec Corporation are growing −44.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Cargotec Corporation (CYJBY) carry?
The net debt of Cargotec Corporation is €4.3M (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 27, 2026