Catalyst Metals Limited (CYL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$1.4B
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price +10.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (A$3.96 to A$15.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Our model range runs from A$3.96 (bear) to A$15.01 (bull), base A$7.36. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.4600 – A$9.64 · fair‑value band A$3.96 – A$15.01 · the A$6.46 price screens below the A$7.36 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Catalyst Metals Limited (CYL) currently trades at A$6.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$7.36, implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Catalyst Metals Limited generated revenue of A$451M at a net margin of 29.4%. Revenue grew 50.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$202M. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$3.96 (bear case) to A$15.01 (bull case); at A$6.46, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 14%, CYL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$19.68) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Catalyst Metals Limited engages in the mineral exploration and evaluation in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. It also involved in the mine development business. Catalyst Metals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Catalyst Metals Limited reported revenue of A$361M in FY2025 versus A$28.5M in FY2021, a compound +88.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$119M in FY2025, compounding +236.1%/yr from FY2021.
Watch CYL: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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