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Citizens National Corporation (CZNL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $86.4M

CN Citizens National Corporation logo Citizens National Corporation CZNL · US
Price$89.83
Fair Value$75.96
Upside-15.4%
Quality67/100
Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 23.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.13% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
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Evidence: High Range $56.97 – $94.95 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 4, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Share price +5.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$89.83 $35.44 Fair Value $75.96 Mar 2016 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $35.44 – $89.83 · fair‑value band $56.97 – $94.95 · the $89.83 price screens above the $75.96 fair value. As of Aug 4, 2026.

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Analysis

Citizens National Corporation (CZNL) currently trades at $89.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $75.96, implying the stock looks roughly 15.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Citizens National Corporation generated revenue of $24.6M at a net margin of 23.2%. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 15.1. Fundamentals as of Aug 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $56.97 (bear case) to $94.95 (bull case); at $89.83, the current price sits within that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 102% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -15%, CZNL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $22.55 $32.82 $45.40 80
Residual Income $60.33 $60.94 $57.54 76
Rev-Margin DCF $28.64 $52.68 $79.33 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $21.86 $32.95 $47.26 38
Owner Earnings $25.12 $37.05 $52.44 31
5Y Revenue Exit $28.64 $51.91 $81.91 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $34.57 $62.16 $94.38 41
5Y P/E Exit $39.55 $70.78 $103.35 38
10Y Revenue Exit $23.85 $41.68 $62.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $28.21 $47.52 $70.01 37
10Y P/E Exit $30.85 $52.43 $75.34 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $39.73 $77.93 $97.58 54
EPV $20.46 $25.47 $29.53 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $87.64 $116.86 $146.07 63
P/S Multiple $64.31 $85.74 $107.18 58
P/B Multiple $74.50 $99.33 $124.16 55
EV/EBIT $73.37 $104.92 $136.47 53
EV/EBITDA $55.72 $81.38 $107.04 54
EV/Revenue $38.75 $64.47 $90.19 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $41.39 $55.46 $82.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $22.55 $32.82 $45.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.64 $52.68 $79.33 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $60.33 $60.94 $57.54 76
ROIC Compounder $20.46 $25.47 $29.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $63.36 $90.51 $117.66 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($90.51) versus Earnings-Based ($25.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $24.6M
Net margin 23.2%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow $5.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.1
Operating margin 29.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $5.84
Dividend yield 1.1%
Net debt $973K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Citizens National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Citizens Bank of Kentucky that provides various banking products and services in Eastern Kentucky, the United States.

Full company description

Citizens National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Citizens Bank of Kentucky that provides various banking products and services in Eastern Kentucky, the United States. It offers deposit products, including checking and savings accounts, term certificate, individual retirement accounts, and certificates of deposits; lending products comprising residential mortgage, commercial, installment, consumer, home equity, and business loans; healthcare, online, and mobile banking services; merchant services; remote deposit capture services; and debit and credit cards, as well as cash, treasury, and wealth management services. The company was founded in 1909 and is based in Paintsville, Kentucky.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Citizens National Corporation reported revenue of $33.5M in FY2025 versus $26.0M in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was $5.7M in FY2025, compounding +1.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$33.5M
Latest YoY
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+2.5%
Revenue +6.6%/yr
FY21 $26.0M
FY22 $27.0M
FY23 $30.3M
FY24 $32.4M
FY25 $33.5M
Net income +1.6%/yr
FY21 $5.4M
FY22 $6.1M
FY23 $5.0M
FY24 $4.7M
FY25 $5.7M

CZNL screens 15% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Citizens National Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CZNL

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1100 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.41× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.51× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 15.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 13 · sector 39
FUTURE 0 · sector 43
PAST 31 · sector 41
HEALTH 80 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 23 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 4, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Citizens National Corporation (CZNL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $75.96 versus a price of $89.83, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CZNL?
Our model-based fair value for Citizens National Corporation is $75.96 (as of Aug 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $89.83.
What is the quality score of CZNL?
Citizens National Corporation has a Quality Score of 67/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Citizens National Corporation (CZNL)?
Citizens National Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $24.6M (latest available figure, as of Aug 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CZNL?
The net profit margin of Citizens National Corporation is about 23.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Citizens National Corporation pay a dividend?
Citizens National Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.13% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 4, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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