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Dadelo S.A. (DAD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Dadelo S.A. PLN 21.19, price PLN 97.00, upside -78.2%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · PL · ISIN PLDADEL00013

DS Some data Sep 24, 2026

Dadelo S.A.

DAD · WAR

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 21.19 PLN · Strongly overvalued (−78%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +47.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.0% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 42/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

105.00 PLN 8.32 PLN Fair Value 21.19 PLN Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8.32 PLN – 105.00 PLN · fair‑value band 15.65 PLN – 28.05 PLN · the 97.00 PLN price screens above the 21.19 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Dadelo S.A. engages in the online sale of bicycles, accessories, and bicycle parts primarily in Poland. The company provides its products through Dadelo.pl and Centrumrowerowe.pl online stores. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Bydgoszcz, Poland. Dadelo S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Oponeo.pl S.A.

Stock analysis

Dadelo S.A. (DAD) currently trades at 97.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.19 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 357.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 61.33 PLN per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the 97.00 PLN price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 8.04 PLN, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 15.65 PLN (bear) to 28.05 PLN (bull), the price of 97.00 PLN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Dadelo S.A. reported revenue of 444M PLN in FY2025 versus 82.8M PLN in FY2021, a compound +52.2%/yr. Reported net income was 15.4M PLN in FY2025, compounding +26.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.1B PLN (≈ $295M) · P/E ratio 55.7 · P/S ratio 1.93 · EPS (TTM) 1.74 PLN · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 15.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin 9.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −78%, DAD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 15.65 PLN Fair Value 21.19 PLN Bull 28.05 PLN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.28 PLN per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 12.89 PLN 14.43 PLN 15.68 PLN 70
Owner Earnings 9.63 PLN 18.87 PLN 35.01 PLN 68
Residual Income 9.73 PLN 10.56 PLN 12.37 PLN 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 9.63 PLN 18.87 PLN 35.01 PLN 68
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.98 PLN 62.60 PLN 87.85 PLN 61
Lynch FV 32.34 PLN 46.20 PLN 60.06 PLN 59
PEG = 1.0 32.34 PLN 46.20 PLN 60.06 PLN 55
EPV 12.89 PLN 14.43 PLN 15.68 PLN 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple 21.78 PLN 29.04 PLN 36.30 PLN 63
P/S Multiple 16.83 PLN 22.44 PLN 28.05 PLN 58
P/B Multiple 16.83 PLN 22.44 PLN 28.05 PLN 55
EV/EBIT 28.58 PLN 38.09 PLN 47.60 PLN 63
EV/EBITDA 25.99 PLN 34.64 PLN 43.29 PLN 64
EV/Revenue 19.27 PLN 27.52 PLN 35.76 PLN 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.00 PLN 8.04 PLN 12.01 PLN 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income 9.73 PLN 10.56 PLN 12.37 PLN 68
ROIC Compounder 13.71 PLN 17.64 PLN 20.75 PLN 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 42.93 PLN 61.33 PLN 79.73 PLN 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 69
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+58.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+55.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+24.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 6%
2025 sits 293% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

DAD screens 358% overvalued. Compare with Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc →

Compare Dadelo S.A. with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Retail · 229 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 73% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 55.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.10× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.58× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 45
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)60 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 64

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD C$79.65 C$105.59 +33%
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $597.31 $405.44 −32%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $227.83 $163.98 −28%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $543.81 $647.05 +19%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $133.94 $177.50 +33%
Best Buy Co BBY $90.80 $94.24 +4%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.27 ¥40.40 −23%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $32.29 $36.35 +13%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $232.28 $184.19 −21%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $508.14 $358.33 −29%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dadelo S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DAD

Frequently asked questions

Is Dadelo S.A. (DAD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.19 PLN versus a price of 97.00 PLN, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DAD?
Our model-based fair value for Dadelo S.A. is 21.19 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 97.00 PLN.
What is the quality score of DAD?
Dadelo S.A. has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 21.19 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 15.65 PLN, optimistic scenario 28.05 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dadelo S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 21.19 PLN, about −78% upside versus a price of 97.00 PLN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 15.65 PLN, optimistic scenario 28.05 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
Dadelo S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 504M PLN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dadelo S.A. it is 21.19 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 97.00 PLN. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dadelo S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DAD trades above its calculated fair value: price 97.00 PLN, fair value 21.19 PLN, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DAD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (97.00 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (21.19 PLN). For Dadelo S.A. the two are 75.81 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dadelo S.A. worth?
The market values Dadelo S.A. at about 1.1B PLN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 97.00 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 21.19 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DAD?
Our models span a range for Dadelo S.A.: cautious scenario 15.65 PLN, base 21.19 PLN, optimistic 28.05 PLN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 97.00 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DAD?
Dadelo S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 55.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 21.19 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 7.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dadelo S.A. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 15.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DAD from its 52-week high?
Dadelo S.A. trades at 97.00 PLN, about 8% below its 52-week high of 105.00 PLN and 80% above the low of 53.80 PLN (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 21.19 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dadelo S.A.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc, Casey's General Stores, Inc, Williams-Sonoma, Inc, Ulta Beauty, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dadelo S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 97.00 PLN, calculated fair value 21.19 PLN (−78%), Quality Score 49/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DAD calculated?
We run Dadelo S.A. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 21.19 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Dadelo S.A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 97.00 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 21.19 PLN, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dadelo S.A. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (28.05 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Dadelo S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
The market capitalisation of Dadelo S.A. is 1.1B PLN (≈ $295M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dadelo S.A. is 1.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
Earnings per share at Dadelo S.A. are 1.74 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 55.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
The net margin of Dadelo S.A. is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dadelo S.A. is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dadelo S.A. is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
The operating margin of Dadelo S.A. is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
Revenue at Dadelo S.A. is growing +72.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +55.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dadelo S.A. (DAD)?
Earnings per share at Dadelo S.A. are growing +146% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Dadelo S.A. (DAD) generate?
The free cash flow of Dadelo S.A. is −138M PLN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Dadelo S.A. (DAD) carry?
The net debt of Dadelo S.A. is 197M PLN (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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